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Blue Jackets at Predators
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
2
Nashville Predators
▸5
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-O·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Richardson's goal at 11:00 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 2.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were CBJ 44, NSH 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 3.2 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 42 of 44 (.955), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brad Richardson (1 G), 2. Luke Kunin (1 G), 3. Filip Forsberg (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    B. Richardson1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    L. Kunin1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ115013116244
NSHNSH111011411533

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    N. Foligno(1)
    M. Del Zotto (1), A. Texier (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:58
  2. NSH
    R. Grimaldi(1)
    R. Ellis (1)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:44

3rd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +24 pts
    1-2
    1:43
  2. CBJ
    A. Texier(1)
    L. Foudy (1), M. Del Zotto (2)
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +27 pts
    2-2
    5:47
  3. NSH
    B. Richardson(1)
    M. Ekholm (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +32 pts
    2-3
    11:00
  4. NSH
    L. Kunin(2)
    N. Cousins (1), M. Duchene (1)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +10 pts
    2-4
    14:28
  5. NSH
    C. Sissons(1)
    V. Arvidsson (1), D. Fabbro (1)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    15:22

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:22NSHErik Haula · Trippingdrawn by David Savard2 min
  • 18:07CBJAlexandre Texier · Slashingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min

2nd

  • 10:47CBJNick Foligno · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Ellis2 min
  • 11:27NSHserved by M. Olivier · Delaying game bench face off violation2 min

3rd

  • 16:45CBJOliver Bjorkstrand · High stickingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCBJ goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Brad Richardson, 3rd 11:00 — NSH 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.23C. Sissons · Goal · xG 0.17L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.12R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.11C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.10M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.09V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.08B. Richardson · Goal · xG 0.08L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.07L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.07M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.06R. Grimaldi · Missed · xG 0.04E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.02R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02R. Grimaldi · Goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH5 G · 1.8 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsNSH
2.72 G
All situations
5 G1.8
2.22 G
Even strength
5 G1.2
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ66%34%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 1.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsNSH
44
Shots on goal
33
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
11
Hits
16
17
Blocked shots
10
4
Giveaways
6
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000-350.18010—24:37
3S. JonesD000-200.00120—24:32
58D. SavardD000-200.05130—20:41
44V. GavrikovD000000.00120—20:14
28O. BjorkstrandR000-230.10202—17:28
18P. DuboisC000-210.050104517:24
71N. FolignoL101+160.571122717:15
38B. JennerC000-220.100206716:11
25M. GrigorenkoC000-210.1110010016:04
13C. AtkinsonR000-260.37010—15:47
42A. TexierL112+140.20002—15:36
16M. DomiC000-210.041006015:19
15M. Del ZottoD022+130.21010—15:02
19L. FoudyC011+110.11000014:43
46D. KukanD000010.01130—13:10
20R. NashC000040.301005011:21
50E. RobinsonL000030.16100—09:24
52E. BemstromC000030.17000009:12
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)33285.8481.78-3.2260:00

Season series

NSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).