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Predators at Blue Jackets
NHL

Nashville Predators at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸4
Columbus Blue Jackets
2
FinalTV FS-O, FS-TN·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Calle Jarnkrok's goal at 0:16 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 47% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.9 to 1.2; shots on goal were NSH 45, CBJ 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 90% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.8 goals below expected; Elvis Merzlikins stopped 35 of 39 (.897), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Calle Jarnkrok (2 G), 2. Boone Jenner (1 G), 3. Colton Sissons (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    C. Jarnkrok2 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    B. Jenner1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    C. Sissons1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH216019210445
CBJCBJ0621007223

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(3)PPG
    R. Ellis (6)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    12:58
  2. NSH
    C. Sissons(3)
    L. Kunin (2), Y. Trenin (1)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    16:49

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    B. Jenner(6)SHG
    S. Harrington (2), N. Foligno (6)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    3:46
  2. CBJ
    G. Carlsson(1)
    O. Bjorkstrand (10), M. Grigorenko (5)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    5:28

3rd period

  1. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +24 pts
    3-2
    0:16
  2. NSH
    F. Forsberg(8)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    0:45

Penalties

NSH 7 PIM·CBJ 13 PIM

1st

  • 11:05CBJMichael Del Zotto · Interferencedrawn by Rocco Grimaldi2 min
  • 18:20NSHMatt Duchene · Hookingdrawn by Eric Robinson2 min

2nd

  • 2:19CBJSeth Jones · Trippingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min
  • 6:53CBJNick Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki5 min
  • 6:53NSHMark Borowiecki · Fightingdrawn by Nick Foligno5 min
  • 10:10CBJJack Roslovic · Trippingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min

3rd

  • 2:10CBJEric Robinson · Trippingdrawn by Ben Harpur2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalNSH goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Calle Jarnkrok, 3rd 0:16 — NSH 47% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Grigorenko · On goal · xG 0.14B. Jenner · Goal · xG 0.11M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.11B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.11B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.08A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.08A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.06N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.05B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.04B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.03C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.03S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.03P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.02A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02G. Carlsson · Goal · xG 0.02G. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.01E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grigorenko · Missed · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.01G. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.01R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.01B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.00
CBJ2 G · 1.2 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCBJ
3.94 G
All situations
2 G1.2
3.03 G
Even strength
1 G0.8
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH90%10%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.88 – 1.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCBJ
45
Shots on goal
23
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/4
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
13
24
Hits
13
6
Blocked shots
16
1
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000+130.17110—26:26
4R. EllisD011+220.05100—23:18
64M. GranlundC000050.440004019:15
95M. DucheneC000+160.430026019:13
33V. ArvidssonL000+150.52000—18:17
57D. FabbroD000020.05020—17:41
19C. JarnkrokC202+130.540005016:42
9F. ForsbergL101030.23000—16:28
21N. CousinsC000000.061007516:23
17B. HarpurD000030.16100—16:23
56E. HaulaL000-130.401106415:41
28E. TolvanenR000-110.20400—15:37
5M. BenningD000000.01110—14:35
10C. SissonsC101010.160006813:38
90M. BorowieckiD000020.03705—13:35
23R. GrimaldiR000+130.04100—12:31
13Y. TreninC011010.06400012:27
11L. KuninC011020.36210009:54
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(W)23212.9131.17-0.8359:56

Season series

NSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).