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Predators at Blue Jackets
NHL

Nashville Predators at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸4
Columbus Blue Jackets
3
Final/OTTV BSSO, BSOH·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-3 in overtime, Roman Josi scoring at 3:24. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roman Josi's goal at 3:24 of overtime, which took the Predators' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.5 to 2.3; shots on goal were NSH 38, CBJ 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.7 goals below expected; Elvis Merzlikins stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Emil Bemstrom (3 G), 2. Roman Josi (2 G), 3. Filip Forsberg (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    E. Bemstrom3 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Josi2 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH0103140915438
CBJCBJ01101031100332

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(12)
    R. Ellis (11), R. Johansen (14)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +19 pts
    1-0
    9:01
  2. NSH
    R. Johansen(6)PPG
    E. Tolvanen (11), F. Forsberg (19)
    wristxG 0.39win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    11:29
  3. NSH
    R. Josi(7)
    R. Ellis (12), N. Cousins (12)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    19:16

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    E. Bemstrom(1)
    J. Roslovic (21), M. Del Zotto (8)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    1:54
  2. CBJ
    E. Bemstrom(2)
    M. Grigorenko (8), M. Del Zotto (9)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    7:26
  3. CBJ
    E. Bemstrom(3)PPG
    S. Jones (20), J. Roslovic (22)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +37 pts
    3-3
    15:07

Overtime

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(8)
    E. Haula (12), C. Jarnkrok (14)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    3:24

Penalties

NSH 6 PIM·CBJ 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:10CBJVladislav Gavrikov · Hookingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 11:53NSHMattias Ekholm · Interferencedrawn by Alexandre Texier2 min
  • 18:23NSHFilip Forsberg · Slashingdrawn by Alexandre Texier2 min

2nd

  • 10:47CBJAlexandre Texier · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:35CBJMichael Del Zotto · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

3rd

  • 13:39NSHBrad Richardson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:24CBJDean Kukan · High stickingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalNSH goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Roman Josi, OT 3:24 — NSH 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.34J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.16E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.12E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.12M. Grigorenko · On goal · xG 0.12M. Grigorenko · On goal · xG 0.12E. Bemstrom · Missed · xG 0.11E. Bemstrom · Goal · xG 0.10P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.09O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.09E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.08E. Bemstrom · Goal · xG 0.07C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.07E. Bemstrom · Goal · xG 0.06M. Grigorenko · On goal · xG 0.06E. Bemstrom · Missed · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05M. Grigorenko · Missed · xG 0.05C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.04M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.03C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Dalpe · On goal · xG 0.02E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02D. Kukan · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.01G. Bayreuther · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ3 G · 2.3 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCBJ
3.54 G
All situations
3 G2.3
2.13 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH70%30%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.40 – 2.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCBJ
38
Shots on goal
32
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
13
11
Blocked shots
11
5
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD202+250.29040—24:58
14M. EkholmD000-130.17112—22:54
4R. EllisD022020.05030—22:09
64M. GranlundC000010.000006020:39
92R. JohansenC112+120.551108619:03
45A. CarrierD000020.03310—19:01
19C. JarnkrokC011+130.340006718:42
28E. TolvanenR011+130.28100—18:27
9F. ForsbergL112+140.62002—18:06
56E. HaulaL011030.400005017:40
5M. BenningD000010.01200—16:03
44E. GudbransonD000010.05110—13:58
13Y. TreninC000010.17200013:06
15B. RichardsonR000020.092021313:03
95M. DucheneC000-120.20200012:55
84T. JeannotL000020.21300—12:31
21N. CousinsC011-100.00100010:55
11L. KuninC000010.02200010:34
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)32293.9062.33-0.6763:24

Season series

NSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).