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Blue Jackets at Predators
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
1
Nashville Predators
▸3
FinalTV NHLN, FS-O·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-1. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Predators answered. The Predators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eeli Tolvanen's goal at 9:44 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 56% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.6 to 1.6; shots on goal were CBJ 29, NSH 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Juuse Saros stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Forsberg (1 A), 2. Juuse Saros (28 saves, .966), 3. Eeli Tolvanen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros28 saves, .966
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    E. Tolvanen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ17011011129
NSHNSH11111216329

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    K. Stenlund(4)
    R. Nash (3), S. Jones (11)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:45
  2. NSH
    N. Cousins(2)
    V. Arvidsson (6), R. Johansen (5)
    deflectedxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    7:05

2nd period

  1. NSH
    E. Tolvanen(3)PPG
    F. Forsberg (10), R. Josi (10)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    9:44

3rd period

  1. NSH
    E. Haula(2)SHG
    R. Josi (11), M. Benning (1)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    18:08

Penalties

CBJ 12 PIM·NSH 16 PIM

1st

  • 15:22NSHFilip Forsberg · Slashingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min

2nd

  • 8:25CBJDavid Savard · Trippingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 17:16NSHMatt Benning · Interferencedrawn by Eric Robinson2 min

3rd

  • 16:46NSHRyan Johansen · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
  • 18:08CBJMax Domi · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:08NSHMatt Benning · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCBJ goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Eeli Tolvanen, 2nd 9:44 — NSH 56% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.22E. Haula · Goal · xG 0.19F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.17E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.16N. Cousins · Goal · xG 0.16N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.14L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.13R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.11M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.08E. Tolvanen · Goal · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.07R. Grimaldi · Missed · xG 0.07R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.07M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.07R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.07M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.06R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.06E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.05E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.05R. Grimaldi · Missed · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.01M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.01N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.01E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.01R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 2.6 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsNSH
1.61 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.51 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ32%68%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.62 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsNSH
29
Shots on goal
29
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
1/1
12
Penalty minutes
16
12
Hits
10
8
Blocked shots
10
10
Giveaways
15
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000+120.06000—27:03
3S. JonesD011010.00220—26:11
13C. AtkinsonR000020.13000—22:26
29P. LaineL000-140.52020—22:25
96J. RoslovicC000-120.110103621:52
71N. FolignoL000-130.0700010020:29
58D. SavardD000020.08202—18:35
28O. BjorkstrandR000-200.02100—17:11
38B. JennerC000-120.170103516:36
15M. Del ZottoD000-140.08200—15:05
53G. CarlssonD000020.05000—14:38
16M. DomiC000-120.150010014:35
20R. NashC011+100.061007513:15
11K. StenlundC101+110.04000013:05
44V. GavrikovD000-110.02110—12:48
42A. TexierL000010.070003307:58
50E. RobinsonL000+100.00300—07:49
52E. BemstromC000000.00010007:22
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(L)29263.8972.61-0.3958:48

Season series

NSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).