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Lightning at Blackhawks
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸7
Chicago Blackhawks
4
FinalTV ESPN+, BSFL·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Chicago Blackhawks 7-4. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 6-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 6:40 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals were close — TBL 2.9, CHI 3.0; shots on goal were TBL 30, CHI 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 36 of 40 (.900), 1.0 goals below expected; Malcolm Subban stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Point (1 G, 2 A), 2. Mikhail Sergachev (2 A), 3. Patrick Kane (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    M. Sergachev2 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    P. Kane2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL31131217730
CHICHI218111111440

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    E. Cernak(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:28
  2. TBL
    Y. Gourde(17)
    M. Sergachev (25), B. Coleman (15)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    4:15
  3. CHI
    B. Hagel(8)
    K. Dach (7), A. Boqvist (14)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    11:59
  4. TBL
    A. Barré-Boulet(2)
    O. Palat (29), B. Point (23)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    15:04
  5. CHI
    W. Kalynuk(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    3-2
    17:59

2nd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(21)
    O. Palat (30)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    6:40
  2. TBL
    B. Coleman(11)
    T. Johnson (13), B. Goodrow (10)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +10 pts
    5-2
    9:21
  3. TBL
    A. Killorn(13)PPG
    M. Sergachev (26), B. Point (24)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +4 pts
    6-2
    13:39
  4. CHI
    D. Keith(4)
    P. Kane (44), V. Hinostroza (7)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +3 pts
    6-3
    19:28

3rd period

  1. CHI
    D. Kubalik(16)PPG
    P. Kane (45), A. DeBrincat (22)
    slapxG 0.20win prob +3 pts
    6-4
    13:51
  2. TBL
    A. Killorn(14)
    E. Cernak (11)
    wristxG 0.01
    7-4
    19:09

Penalties

TBL 24 PIM·CHI 28 PIM

1st

  • 4:59TBLCal Foote · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 7:29TBLCal Foote · Trippingdrawn by David Kampf2 min
  • 12:30TBLLuke Schenn · Interferencedrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min
  • 15:05TBLLuke Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov5 min
  • 15:05CHINikita Zadorov · Fightingdrawn by Luke Schenn5 min

2nd

  • 7:00CHIDylan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min
  • 12:21TBLErik Cernak · Fightingdrawn by Connor Murphy5 min
  • 12:21CHIConnor Murphy · Instigatordrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
  • 12:21CHIConnor Murphy · Fightingdrawn by Erik Cernak5 min
  • 12:21CHIConnor Murphy · Misconductdrawn by Erik Cernak10 min
  • 15:22TBLYanni Gourde · Hookingdrawn by Mike Hardman2 min

3rd

  • 7:24CHIPhilipp Kurashev · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 10:11TBLMathieu Joseph · High sticking double minordrawn by Alex DeBrincat4 min
  • 12:41TBLMikhail Sergachev · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:41CHIWyatt Kalynuk · Hookingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalTBL goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Brayden Point, 2nd 6:40 — TBL 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.24P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.23D. Kubalik · Goal · xG 0.20D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.18A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.15B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.13D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.13V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.12P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.12P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.09B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.09P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.08B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.08D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.06D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04W. Kalynuk · Goal · xG 0.04K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.04D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.04B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.04A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.03A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.03D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.02P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02W. Kalynuk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · Goal · xG 0.01R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.01R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.01
CHI4 G · 3.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsCHI
2.97 G
All situations
4 G3.0
2.36 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.51 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL48%52%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.86 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsCHI
30
Shots on goal
40
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/4
Power play
1/7
24
Penalty minutes
28
30
Hits
26
18
Blocked shots
9
10
Giveaways
9
13
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. McDonaghD000+100.00140—25:03
98M. SergachevD022+110.02422—24:59
77V. HedmanD000+210.04140—23:47
81E. CernakD112+110.06415—21:12
17A. KillornL202+150.60100—18:26
21B. PointC123+210.072006018:24
71A. CirelliC000030.200205717:26
60A. Barré-BouletC101+260.48010017:20
18O. PalatL022+220.30100—16:32
19B. GoodrowC011+130.430005814:12
20B. ColemanL112+120.27210—13:53
37Y. GourdeC101-120.190023113:15
79R. ColtonC000000.000005511:11
7M. JosephR000000.00214—10:47
9T. JohnsonC011+110.152105010:29
2L. SchennD000000.00507—10:19
14P. MaroonL000010.11200—10:06
52C. FooteD000+110.01314—08:59
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)40364.9002.97-1.0360:00

Season series

TBL leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).