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Blackhawks at Lightning
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
FinalTV ESPN+, SUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ross Colton's goal at 5:32 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals were close — CHI 2.3, TBL 2.5; shots on goal were CHI 21, TBL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.8 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Ross Colton (1 G), 2. Yanni Gourde (1 G), 3. Mattias Janmark (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    R. Colton1 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    Y. Gourde1 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    M. Janmark1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI290705221
TBLTBL2100726423

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    M. Janmark(10)PPG
    D. Kubalik (14), A. DeBrincat (15)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    2:10
  2. TBL
    A. Killorn(8)
    V. Hedman (23), S. Stamkos (14)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:15
  3. TBL
    Y. Gourde(9)PPG
    M. Sergachev (18), A. Vasilevskiy (2)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    17:02
  4. CHI
    D. Strome(5)PPG
    M. Janmark (8), D. Keith (11)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +11 pts
    2-2
    18:45

3rd period

  1. TBL
    R. Colton(2)
    M. Joseph (5), P. Maroon (7)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +27 pts
    2-3
    5:32
  2. TBL
    V. Hedman(6)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.31win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:44

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·TBL 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:47TBLBarclay Goodrow · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min
  • 15:38CHILucas Wallmark · Trippingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
  • 18:08TBLPatrick Maroon · Interferencedrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

2nd

  • 0:35TBLYanni Gourde · Slashingdrawn by Pius Suter2 min
  • 5:51CHIPhilipp Kurashev · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
  • 13:03TBLBarclay Goodrow · Boardingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCHI goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Ross Colton, 3rd 5:32 — TBL 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.31O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.21A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.15R. Colton · Goal · xG 0.15B. Point · On goal · xG 0.14A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.14V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.13Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.12B. Point · On goal · xG 0.09E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.09J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.09P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.08B. Point · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.06B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.06T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.06Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.05A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.05R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02B. Point · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL4 G · 2.5 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsTBL
2.32 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.60 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.72 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 59 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI52%48%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsTBL
21
Shots on goal
23
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
9
Hits
20
8
Blocked shots
9
4
Giveaways
1
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88P. KaneR000-120.04000—21:40
2D. KeithD011-320.14210—20:54
27A. BoqvistD000-100.00000—20:47
12A. DeBrincatR011-110.13210—20:18
44C. de HaanD000000.01310—20:01
16N. ZadorovD000010.18110—19:37
5C. MurphyD000-200.00020—18:52
17D. StromeC101-140.760005717:17
24P. SuterC000-110.160105816:54
8D. KubalikL011-100.00000—16:25
13M. JanmarkC112-150.41000016:11
22R. CarpenterC000-110.10000015:07
64D. KampfC000010.080003314:27
51I. MitchellD000000.00000—13:59
38B. HagelL000-110.07000—13:07
34C. SoderbergC000000.000104412:22
23P. KurashevC000-110.14002011:14
71L. WallmarkC000-110.091025008:37
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(L)22193.8642.16-0.8458:25

Season series

TBL leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).