Tampa Bay Lightning at Chicago Blackhawks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Chicago Blackhawks 6-3. The Lightning came back from three goals down. The Lightning led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yanni Gourde's goal at 16:55 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 50% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were TBL 39, CHI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.7 goals below expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 33 of 39 (.846), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Yanni Gourde (2 G, 2 A), 2. Victor Hedman (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ondrej Palat (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
0-110:51
0-215:34
2nd period
0-33:11
1-33:51
2-34:14
3-37:51
4-316:55
3rd period
5-314:25
6-317:25
Penalties
1st
- 13:50
Patrick Maroon · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min
2nd
- 1:04
Cal Foote · Trippingdrawn by David Kampf2 min
- 3:40
Brandon Hagel · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
- 6:51
Ian Mitchell · Hookingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
- 9:27
Connor Murphy · Match penatly 10 minutesdrawn by Erik Cernak10 min
- 12:14
Victor Hedman · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Carpenter2 min
- 15:08
Mattias Janmark · High stickingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
- 17:21
Barclay Goodrow · Trippingdrawn by Adam Boqvist2 min
3rd
- 9:41
Ryan McDonagh · Slashingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
- 15:57
Duncan Keith · Hookingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Yanni Gourde, 2nd 16:55 — 50% → 70%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.96 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.3
- 2.42 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.7
- 0.94 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
- 0.60 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.87 – 2.30
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 39
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 4/5
- Power play
- 1/4
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 18
- 20
- Hits
- 15
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 15
- Giveaways
- 12
- 5
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
TBL leads 7-1
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
