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Blackhawks at Lightning
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
1
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
FinalTV NBCSN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathieu Joseph's goal at 16:18 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were CHI 23, TBL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Malcolm Subban stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 2.3 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Steven Stamkos (1 G, 2 A), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (22 saves, .957), 3. Mathieu Joseph (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy22 saves, .957
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    M. Joseph1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI080817123
TBLTBL31311317533

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    O. Palat(1)PPG
    V. Hedman (1), S. Stamkos (1)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    10:39
  2. TBL
    M. Joseph(1)
    A. Killorn (1), A. Cirelli (1)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    16:18
  3. TBL
    A. Cirelli(1)
    E. Cernak (1), A. Killorn (2)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    17:57

2nd period

  1. TBL
    S. Stamkos(1)PPG
    B. Point (1), V. Hedman (2)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    9:56

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(1)
    S. Stamkos (2), M. Sergachev (1)
    wristxG 0.15
    0-5
    6:45
  2. CHI
    D. Strome(1)PPG
    A. Shaw (1), A. Boqvist (1)
    wristxG 0.25
    1-5
    16:36

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:27TBLJan Rutta · Hookingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 10:08CHICalvin de Haan · Interferencedrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 19:12TBLOndrej Palat · Interferencedrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

2nd

  • 4:01CHIAdam Boqvist · Holdingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
  • 9:17CHIDuncan Keith · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 0:40CHIDuncan Keith · Slashingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 14:52TBLBarclay Goodrow · Holdingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCHI goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Mathieu Joseph, 1st 16:18 — TBL 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.18O. Palat · Goal · xG 0.18B. Point · Goal · xG 0.15B. Point · On goal · xG 0.14S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.13A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.13A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.12Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.11B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.10M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.10B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.09B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.09M. Joseph · Goal · xG 0.09E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.08B. Point · On goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.05B. Point · On goal · xG 0.05O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.04A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.04A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.04A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.03J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.03A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.03B. Point · Missed · xG 0.02B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.02M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL5 G · 2.7 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsTBL
1.91 G
All situations
5 G2.7
1.40 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.51 G
Power play
2 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI36%64%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 2.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsTBL
23
Shots on goal
33
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
16
7
Blocked shots
12
1
Giveaways
1
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. MurphyD000-100.04220—21:16
44C. de HaanD000-100.00112—20:39
88P. KaneR000040.38000—20:11
12A. DeBrincatR000020.10100—20:07
2D. KeithD000-120.02034—19:43
17D. StromeC101010.251005518:58
16N. ZadorovD000-110.02210—18:26
27A. BoqvistD011-100.07102—17:51
51I. MitchellD000-110.08100—17:21
65A. ShawR011-110.1020010017:16
71L. WallmarkC000-120.131003315:12
64D. KampfC000010.060007114:11
13M. JanmarkC000-110.06000014:01
22R. CarpenterC000010.042003313:35
24P. SuterC000-240.340002011:49
8D. KubalikL000-200.00000—11:30
73B. PirriC000-220.23000011:29
36M. HighmoreC000000.00000010:47
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Subban(L)33285.8482.73-2.2759:37

Season series

TBL leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).