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Blackhawks at Lightning
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
1
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
FinalTV SUN, NBCSCH·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Cirelli's goal at 1:53 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 69% to 83%. Expected goals were close — CHI 2.8, TBL 2.8; shots on goal were CHI 31, TBL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Malcolm Subban stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.2 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (30 saves, .968), 2. Victor Hedman (3 A), 3. Yanni Gourde (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman3 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    Y. Gourde1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI01201415131
TBLTBL17310012429

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(12)
    A. Killorn (12), S. Stamkos (15)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:21

2nd period

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(9)
    M. Sergachev (19), V. Hedman (24)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    1:53
  2. TBL
    Y. Gourde(10)
    B. Coleman (8), V. Hedman (25)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    14:15
  3. TBL
    S. Stamkos(15)PPG
    A. Killorn (13), V. Hedman (26)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    18:21

3rd period

  1. CHI
    A. DeBrincat(16)
    D. Kubalik (15), P. Kurashev (5)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    4:50

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·TBL 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:29CHICalvin de Haan · Trippingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 18:07TBLJan Rutta · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

2nd

  • 0:15TBLYanni Gourde · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 0:15CHIAlex DeBrincat · Cross checkingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 6:09TBLBarclay Goodrow · Trippingdrawn by Carl Soderberg2 min
  • 6:47TBLErik Cernak · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:10CHIConnor Murphy · Holdingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 19:13TBLPatrick Maroon · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

3rd

  • 8:33CHIReese Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCHI goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Cirelli, 2nd 1:53 — TBL 69% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Point · Goal · xG 0.23S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.18Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.16A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.16A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.15R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.15A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.14A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.11J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.11A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.11B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.10B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.10J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.09B. Point · On goal · xG 0.09O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.07A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.06B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.05A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.05R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.03R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.02O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.01C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL4 G · 2.8 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsTBL
2.81 G
All situations
4 G2.8
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI50%50%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 2.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsTBL
31
Shots on goal
29
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/4
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
13
Hits
17
4
Blocked shots
18
1
Giveaways
2
2
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. BoqvistD000-130.49110—23:08
88P. KaneR000-140.55000—22:21
2D. KeithD000-140.19300—20:45
12A. DeBrincatR101020.19102—20:34
5C. MurphyD000-100.00012—19:19
44C. de HaanD000-120.04112—18:07
16N. ZadorovD000020.04110—17:39
38B. HagelL000-110.1500010016:48
8D. KubalikL011+130.20000—16:47
34C. SoderbergC000020.202008515:34
17D. StromeC000-100.021004015:22
64D. KampfC000020.061004115:13
51I. MitchellD000010.03000—14:31
24P. SuterC000-110.150003314:08
23P. KurashevC011+120.250005013:52
13M. JanmarkC000-220.2200010011:41
22R. CarpenterC000-100.00000011:09
52R. JohnsonC000000.00202006:55
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Subban(L)29254.8622.80-1.2059:48

Season series

TBL leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).