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New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers

Final/OTTV MSG+, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Philadelphia Flyers 2-1 in overtime, Anthony Beauvillier scoring at 3:41. The Flyers scored first; the Islanders answered. The Flyers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 3:41 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — NYI 1.7, PHI 1.9; shots on goal were NYI 20, PHI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Brian Elliott stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Ilya Sorokin (36 saves, .973), 2. Anthony Beauvillier (1 G), 3. Oskar Lindblom (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin36 saves, .973
  2. ★★
    NYI
    A. Beauvillier1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    O. Lindblom1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI04061614220
PHIPHI01211401100137

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    12:03

3rd period

  1. NYI
    snapxG 0.07win prob +26 pts
    1-1
    4:06

Overtime

  1. NYI
    wrap-aroundxG 0.06win prob +51 pts
    2-1
    3:41

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·PHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 9:26PHITravis Konecny · Roughingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

2nd

  • 0:17NYIMatt Martin · Holdingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min

3rd

  • 18:11NYINick Leddy · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNYI goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, OT 3:41 — NYI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.18N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.13O. Lindblom · Goal · xG 0.11S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.09J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.09S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.08J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.08C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.08M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.07N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.05J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.05T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.05J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.05S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.04O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.00I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI1 G · 1.9 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsPHI
1.72 G
All situations
1 G1.9
1.42 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI45%55%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 1.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsPHI
20
Shots on goal
37
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
26
Hits
24
17
Blocked shots
14
3
Giveaways
11
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD000040.06220—24:16
3A. PelechD011+120.18000—23:07
2N. LeddyD000000.00032—22:21
24S. MayfieldD000010.03020—18:39
34T. HickeyD000010.02210—18:39
4A. GreeneD000+100.00300—18:25
12J. BaileyR000-110.170005018:23
29B. NelsonC000000.083102218:05
13M. BarzalC000-110.010105016:51
44J. PageauC022+220.172104616:49
18A. BeauvillierR101+240.29010—16:32
28M. Dal ColleL000-100.00010—16:26
7J. EberleR000010.17000—15:08
53C. CizikasC000000.002004014:31
26O. WahlstromR101+110.28110—14:28
15C. ClutterbuckR000010.11430—13:47
47L. KomarovR000010.15300—12:09
17M. MartinL000000.00402—12:08
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)37361.9731.92+0.9263:41

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).