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Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders

FinalTV MSG+ 2, NBCSP·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New York Islanders 4-3. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oskar Lindblom's goal at 17:38 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 48% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were PHI 31, NYI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.2 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Oskar Lindblom (2 G), 2. Nick Leddy (3 A), 3. Claude Giroux (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    O. Lindblom2 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    N. Leddy3 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. Giroux1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI09312110431
NYINYI0805312325

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.38win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    2:26
  2. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    10:04
  3. PHI
    slapxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    14:01

3rd period

  1. NYI
    N. Leddy (18), J. Bailey (13)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +5 pts
    3-1
    7:53
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    3-2
    13:53
  3. NYI
    snapxG 0.15win prob +38 pts
    3-3
    14:27
  4. PHI
    snapxG 0.11win prob +43 pts
    4-3
    17:38

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·NYI 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:36NYIMathew Barzal · High sticking double minordrawn by Nate Prosser4 min
  • 13:33PHINicolas Aube-Kubel · Roughingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

2nd

  • 6:38NYIKieffer Bellows · Slashingdrawn by Nolan Patrick2 min

3rd

  • 11:28PHINolan Patrick · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalPHI goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Oskar Lindblom, 3rd 17:38 — PHI 48% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.21B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.20O. Wahlstrom · Goal · xG 0.15M. Dal Colle · Goal · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.10S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.10O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.09M. Dal Colle · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.07R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.06K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.06R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.05O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.05R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04K. Bellows · Missed · xG 0.04N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.02A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.00B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 1.8 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNYI
2.54 G
All situations
3 G1.8
1.54 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI55%45%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 1.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNYI
31
Shots on goal
25
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
24
11
Blocked shots
16
3
Giveaways
10
1
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000+160.17010—25:04
61J. BraunD000+120.03020—21:36
14S. CouturierC000-110.040003321:00
5P. MyersD011-110.03120—20:58
6T. SanheimD000-110.08010—20:58
86J. FarabeeL000-120.16200—20:24
25J. van RiemsdykL000-110.03300—19:39
13K. HayesR011+100.111102019:06
93J. VoracekR101+110.54000—16:00
21S. LaughtonC011+100.001104015:23
28C. GirouxR112+140.310005814:16
11T. KonecnyR033+140.27100—14:13
56E. GustafssonD000+130.13100—14:10
39N. ProsserD011+110.03010—12:49
23O. LindblomL202+130.53110—12:04
19N. PatrickC000000.000024410:00
62N. Aube-KubelR000000.00412—09:52
81C. TwarynskiL000010.01100—08:28
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)25223.8801.79-1.2160:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).