Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe Philadelphia Flyers beat the New York Islanders 4-3. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oskar Lindblom's goal at 17:38 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 48% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were PHI 31, NYI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.2 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Oskar Lindblom (2 G), 2. Nick Leddy (3 A), 3. Claude Giroux (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★O. Lindblom2 G

- ★★N. Leddy3 A

- ★★★C. Giroux1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals2nd period
1-02:26
2-010:04
3-014:01
3rd period
3-17:53
3-213:53
3-314:27
4-317:38
Penalties
1st
- 8:36
Mathew Barzal · High sticking double minordrawn by Nate Prosser4 min
- 13:33
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · Roughingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
2nd
- 6:38
Kieffer Bellows · Slashingdrawn by Nolan Patrick2 min
3rd
- 11:28
Nolan Patrick · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Oskar Lindblom, 3rd 17:38 — 48% → 92%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.54 G
- All situations
- 3 G1.8
- 1.54 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.3
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 1.79
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 31
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 41%
- Faceoffs
- 59%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 16
- Hits
- 24
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 3
- Giveaways
- 10
- 1
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
NYI leads 5-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
