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New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers

Final/OTTV ESPN+, MSG+·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New York Islanders 3-2 in overtime, Scott Laughton scoring at 3:16. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Scott Laughton's goal at 3:16 of overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 1.9 to 1.4; shots on goal were NYI 28, PHI 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 1.6 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Scott Laughton (1 G, 1 A), 2. Scott Mayfield (1 G), 3. Mathew Barzal (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    S. Laughton1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    S. Mayfield1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI0621001101228
PHIPHI26040413317

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:38
  2. PHI
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    13:55

2nd period

  1. NYI
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    7:31
  2. NYI
    snapxG 0.02win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    11:46

Overtime

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.19win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    3:16

Penalties

NYI 2 PIM·PHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:57NYIMathew Barzal · High stickingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 16:29PHIMichael Raffl · Trippingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

2nd

  • 2:10PHIJoel Farabee · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min
  • 13:04PHINicolas Aube-Kubel · Holdingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min

3rd

  • 0:46PHIClaude Giroux · Trippingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNYI goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Scott Laughton, OT 3:16 — PHI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Laughton · Goal · xG 0.19K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.15S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.13N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.12J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.09J. Voracek · Goal · xG 0.09O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.08N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.08C. Bunnaman · Missed · xG 0.05J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.04P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.04N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.03M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.01P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.01S. Morin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 1.4 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsPHI
1.92 G
All situations
3 G1.4
1.52 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI60%40%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 1.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsPHI
28
Shots on goal
17
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
31
Hits
24
11
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD000010.05100—23:53
13M. BarzalC011040.401025622:30
2N. LeddyD011010.02110—21:04
3A. PelechD011000.00010—20:28
7J. EberleR101+130.41200—19:50
24S. MayfieldD101030.07110—19:48
8N. DobsonD000-120.05210—19:41
27A. LeeL000040.231208319:27
12J. BaileyR000-110.02010—18:34
29B. NelsonC011-100.100204416:46
44J. PageauC000010.132001316:15
4A. GreeneD000000.00100—15:55
15C. ClutterbuckR000-100.00400—15:02
53C. CizikasC000000.002005814:06
17M. MartinL000030.03810—12:58
47L. KomarovR000010.10100—11:48
20K. BellowsL000030.18110—10:32
26O. WahlstromR000010.06300—09:43
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(O)17143.8241.38-1.6263:16

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).