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Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders

FinalTV NHLN, MSG+·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Eberle's goal at 8:01 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were PHI 24, NYI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 22 of 28 (.786), 3.1 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Sorokin (23 saves, .958), 2. Casey Cizikas (2 G), 3. Thomas Hickey (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin23 saves, .958
  2. ★★
    NYI
    C. Cizikas2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    T. Hickey2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI11001103124
NYINYI4130728628

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    J. Pageau(10)PPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    6:11
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    8:01
  3. NYI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    10:03
  4. NYI
    snapxG 0.22win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    15:25
  5. PHI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    17:52

3rd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    9:45
  2. NYI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14
    1-6
    15:46

Penalties

PHI 9 PIM·NYI 11 PIM

1st

  • 5:43PHITravis Konecny · Hookingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min
  • 15:35NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Fightingdrawn by Oskar Lindblom5 min
  • 15:35PHIOskar Lindblom · Fightingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom5 min

2nd

  • 0:28NYIAndy Greene · Interferencedrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 13:06NYICal Clutterbuck · Trippingdrawn by Erik Gustafsson2 min
  • 17:07PHIPhilippe Myers · Cross checkingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

3rd

  • 12:54NYIJordan Eberle · Slashingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalPHI goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Eberle, 1st 8:01 — NYI 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.24C. Cizikas · Goal · xG 0.22M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.19L. Komarov · Missed · xG 0.15M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.15A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.15M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.15J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.14J. Bailey · Goal · xG 0.14J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.14M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.13M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.12C. Cizikas · Goal · xG 0.11M. Dal Colle · Missed · xG 0.10C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.10C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.09A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.08R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.07C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.05C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.05C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hickey · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.02M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI6 G · 2.9 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNYI
1.81 G
All situations
6 G2.9
1.51 G
Even strength
5 G2.6
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI30%70%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.81 – 2.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNYI
24
Shots on goal
28
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/3
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
27
Hits
28
14
Blocked shots
11
20
Giveaways
14
1
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD000-130.19010—23:55
9I. ProvorovD000-120.03010—22:45
56E. GustafssonD000-200.04110—19:56
13K. HayesR000-130.191004219:55
5P. MyersD000-140.08012—19:46
61J. BraunD000000.00010—17:41
86J. FarabeeL101-110.12120—16:48
25J. van RiemsdykL000020.18210—16:10
93J. VoracekR000-110.08010—16:10
28C. GirouxR000-210.424005015:02
62N. Aube-KubelR000010.01500—14:39
19N. PatrickC000-210.111003314:28
12M. RafflL000-100.002103314:18
11T. KonecnyR000-110.0421210014:17
21S. LaughtonC011+110.044002513:43
81C. TwarynskiL000-210.18310—13:41
39N. ProsserD000-310.07010—12:47
23O. LindblomL000-210.02115—11:20
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(L)28226.7862.94-3.0660:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).