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Stars at Red Wings
NHL

Dallas Stars at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
3
Detroit Red Wings
▸7
FinalTV BSDET, BSSW·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Dallas Stars 7-3. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Luke Glendening's goal at 15:35 of the first period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were DAL 46, DET 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 10 of 13 (.769), 1.9 goals below expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 43 of 46 (.935), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jakub Vrana (4 G), 2. Filip Zadina (2 A), 3. Thomas Greiss (43 saves, .935).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    J. Vrana4 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    F. Zadina2 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    T. Greiss43 saves, .935

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL012219115346
DETDET391737723

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    J. Vrana(13)
    F. Zadina (12)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:50
  2. DET
    L. Glendening(6)
    M. Staal (7), A. Erne (8)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    15:35
  3. DET
    R. Panik(4)
    S. Gagner (7)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    19:49

2nd period

  1. DAL
    R. Faksa(6)PPG
    T. Kero (4), E. Lindell (10)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    2:07
  2. DET
    J. Vrana(14)
    D. DeKeyser (7), G. Lindstrom (2)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    6:50
  3. DAL
    J. Pavelski(20)
    J. Klingberg (25), R. Hintz (24)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    12:46

3rd period

  1. DET
    J. Vrana(15)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.23win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    10:09
  2. DAL
    D. Gurianov(10)PPG
    J. Robertson (22), T. Kero (5)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +2 pts
    3-5
    13:29
  3. DET
    J. Vrana(16)
    D. DeKeyser (8), F. Zadina (13)
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +2 pts
    3-6
    15:48
  4. DET
    S. Gagner(6)EN
    G. Lindstrom (3)
    wristxG 0.41
    3-7
    18:47

Penalties

DAL 2 PIM·DET 8 PIM

2nd

  • 1:11DETMichael Rasmussen · Trippingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 10:38DETVladislav Namestnikov · Roughingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
  • 14:41DALAndrew Cogliano · Hookingdrawn by Alex Biega2 min

3rd

  • 3:25DETDanny DeKeyser · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Kero2 min
  • 12:06DETTroy Stecher · Holdingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalDAL goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Luke Glendening, 1st 15:35 — DET 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Gagner · Goal · xG 0.41J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.23J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.22E. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.17J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.14V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.11J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.07R. Panik · Goal · xG 0.07L. Glendening · Goal · xG 0.06M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.04J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.04V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.04R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.04E. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04D. Cholowski · Missed · xG 0.03F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.02D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.02R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.01L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.01A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.01D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.00A. Biega · Missed · xG 0.00M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.00V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.00
DET7 G · 2.0 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsDET
2.33 G
All situations
6 G2.0
1.21 G
Even strength
6 G1.3
1.02 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL65%35%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 1.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsDET
46
Shots on goal
23
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
22
7
Blocked shots
20
2
Giveaways
9
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000-230.12020—26:19
2J. OleksiakD000-330.05110—21:10
3J. KlingbergD011-220.08000—20:30
21J. RobertsonL011-450.23000—20:14
24R. HintzC011-220.312003819:19
23E. LindellD011-330.08010—18:57
16J. PavelskiC101-130.250105018:24
14J. BennL000-130.313006218:07
34D. GurianovR101-250.16000—16:37
12R. FaksaC101-340.421005816:01
44J. HanleyD000-110.01000—15:29
15B. ComeauL000-320.09300—15:16
11A. CoglianoC000-210.04012014:30
5A. SekeraD000-110.01110—14:25
18J. DickinsonC000-120.043004313:33
64T. KeroC022010.031007512:06
37J. DowlingC000010.01100009:46
13M. PysykD000040.05300—09:04
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(L)13103.7691.10-1.9038:13
35A. Khudobin963.6670.44-2.5620:00

Season series

DAL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).