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Red Wings at Stars
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
Dallas Stars
▸5
FinalTV BSDET+, BSSW+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Robertson's goal at 5:07 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were DET 26, DAL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 11 of 11 (1.000), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Jason Robertson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jason Dickinson (2 A), 3. Jamie Benn (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Dickinson2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0121717226
DALDAL3101717524

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    T. Kero(3)
    J. Benn (17)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:55
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(14)
    J. Dickinson (7), J. Hanley (6)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    5:07
  3. DAL
    J. Pavelski(19)
    J. Robertson (21), J. Dickinson (8)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    14:17

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Oleksiak(5)
    D. Gurianov (16)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    3:36
  2. DET
    V. Filppula(5)
    J. Vrana (15)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    4:51

3rd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(9)
    F. Hronek (21), S. Gagner (6)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    16:13
  2. DAL
    B. Comeau(4)EN
    A. Cogliano (6)
    backhandxG 0.88
    2-5
    19:07

Penalties

DET 11 PIM·DAL 11 PIM

1st

  • 17:36DETVladislav Namestnikov · Roughingdrawn by Sami Vatanen2 min
  • 17:36DALSami Vatanen · Roughingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min

2nd

  • 17:13DALRhett Gardner · High stickingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min
  • 20:00DETDylan Larkin · Fightingdrawn by Esa Lindell5 min
  • 20:00DALEsa Lindell · Fightingdrawn by Dylan Larkin5 min

3rd

  • 1:48DETVladislav Namestnikov · Slashingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 3:21DALJake Oettinger · Trippingdrawn by Darren Helm2 min
  • 9:55DETDylan Larkin · High stickingdrawn by Rhett Gardner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalDET goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jason Robertson, 1st 5:07 — DAL 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Comeau · Goal · xG 0.88J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.24J. Oleksiak · Goal · xG 0.22J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.21J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.15T. Kero · Goal · xG 0.13J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.12T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.11D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.11J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.10A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.09B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.07J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.02D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.01R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.00J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.00
DAL5 G · 2.8 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsDAL
2.42 G
All situations
4 G2.8
1.82 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET57%43%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 1.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsDAL
26
Shots on goal
24
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
0/2
11
Penalty minutes
11
14
Hits
21
9
Blocked shots
20
10
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD011-260.22010—21:12
11F. ZadinaR000030.44000—20:25
15J. VranaL011000.12010—19:47
71D. LarkinC101+140.370076719:02
18M. StaalD000030.05010—18:05
65D. DeKeyserD000-120.06000—18:01
70T. StecherD000-200.09110—17:23
27M. RasmussenC000000.004004216:58
21D. CholowskiD000-100.00130—16:37
43D. HelmC000-110.14100016:07
73A. ErneL000-110.0800010016:00
51V. FilppulaC101010.150003315:36
41L. GlendeningC000-100.140006715:32
89S. GagnerC011-220.130103314:55
28G. LindstromD000-100.04200—14:32
24R. PanikR000-220.09100—13:17
92V. NamestnikovC000-210.241044013:13
3A. BiegaD000000.00310—08:59
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29T. Greiss111101.0000.68+0.6834:23
45J. Bernier(L)1284.6671.28-2.7223:36

Season series

DAL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).