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Red Wings at Stars
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
3
Dallas Stars
▸7
FinalTV FS-D+, FS-SW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Detroit Red Wings 7-3. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Denis Gurianov's goal at 14:45 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.5 to 1.6; shots on goal were DET 23, DAL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.5 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Miro Heiskanen (3 A), 2. Denis Gurianov (1 G, 2 A), 3. Tanner Kero (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    M. Heiskanen3 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    D. Gurianov1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    T. Kero2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0517211323
DALDAL11128410729

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Pavelski(4)
    T. Kero (1), M. Heiskanen (2)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:36

2nd period

  1. DAL
    A. Cogliano(1)
    J. Dowling (1), D. Gurianov (3)
    backhandxG 0.31win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    7:56
  2. DET
    V. Filppula(1)
    A. Mantha (3), T. Stecher (1)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    11:59
  3. DAL
    D. Gurianov(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    14:45

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Oleksiak(1)
    M. Heiskanen (3), T. Kero (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    4:18
  2. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(4)PPG
    M. Rasmussen (2), F. Hronek (5)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +4 pts
    2-4
    7:26
  3. DET
    D. DeKeyser(1)
    M. Rasmussen (3), C. Djoos (1)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +11 pts
    3-4
    13:04
  4. DAL
    T. Dellandrea(1)PPG
    M. Heiskanen (4), A. Radulov (2)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +8 pts
    3-5
    14:52
  5. DAL
    J. Dowling(1)EN
    J. Dickinson (2), D. Gurianov (4)
    wristxG 0.58win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    16:24
  6. DAL
    J. Klingberg(2)
    T. Dellandrea (1)
    wristxG 0.06
    3-7
    18:29

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·DAL 14 PIM

1st

  • 8:09DETMathias Brome · Holdingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 13:15DALEsa Lindell · Hookingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 14:00DETVladislav Namestnikov · Holdingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 15:12DALJoe Pavelski · Hookingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
  • 19:46DALAlexander Radulov · Slashingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min

2nd

  • 2:33DALJoe Pavelski · Trippingdrawn by Valtteri Filppula2 min
  • 16:43DALserved by A. Radulov · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 5:45DALTy Dellandrea · Slashingdrawn by Patrik Nemeth2 min
  • 9:40DALAlexander Radulov · Holdingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
  • 13:14DETLuke Glendening · Trippingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalDET goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Denis Gurianov, 2nd 14:45 — DAL 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Dowling · Goal · xG 0.58A. Cogliano · Goal · xG 0.31R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.15N. Caamano · On goal · xG 0.14T. Dellandrea · Goal · xG 0.10D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.10T. Kero · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.08D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.08R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.08D. Gurianov · Goal · xG 0.08R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.07J. Klingberg · Goal · xG 0.06A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.06T. Kero · Missed · xG 0.06J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.05J. L'Esperance · Missed · xG 0.04J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.04R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.03J. L'Esperance · Missed · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pysyk · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · Goal · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gardner · Missed · xG 0.01N. Caamano · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.00A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL7 G · 2.5 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsDAL
1.63 G
All situations
6 G2.5
0.82 G
Even strength
5 G1.7
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET43%57%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 1.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsDAL
23
Shots on goal
29
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/7
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
14
8
Hits
14
7
Blocked shots
21
9
Giveaways
15
1
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD011-120.06110—23:09
71D. LarkinC000-220.310005320:19
59T. BertuzziL101-110.21100—18:54
39A. ManthaR011-430.25000—18:31
44C. DjoosD011-140.10000—18:29
70T. StecherD011-210.03110—17:39
18M. StaalD000-310.00110—17:14
67T. HiroseL000030.08000—16:57
22P. NemethD000000.00200—16:33
27M. RasmussenC022000.001205016:22
54B. RyanR000-420.09000—15:56
65D. DeKeyserD101-110.06020—15:50
51V. FilppulaC101+210.200003015:49
92V. NamestnikovC000-300.001022915:29
43D. HelmC000+110.090008014:53
86M. BromeL000000.00002—13:28
41L. GlendeningC000-110.090027109:42
48G. SmithR000-100.00000—09:37
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45J. Bernier19163.8421.50-1.5040:00
29T. Greiss(L)963.6670.42-2.5819:31

Season series

DAL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).