Stars at Red Wings 3-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Dallas Stars

▸3

Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV FS-D, FS-SW·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-0. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tanner Kero's goal at 17:22 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.0 to 1.1; shots on goal were DAL 33, DET 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anton Khudobin (21 saves, 1.000), 2. Tanner Kero (1 G), 3. Ty Dellandrea (1 G).

Three stars

★
A. Khudobin21 saves, 1.000
★★
T. Kero1 G
★★★
T. Dellandrea1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
DAL	09	115	29	333
DET	05	07	09	021

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

T. Kero(1)
J. Oleksiak (4)
backhandxG 0.06win prob +23 pts
1-0
17:22

3rd period

A. Sekera(2)
R. Faksa (6)
tip-inxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
2-0
8:16
T. Dellandrea(2)PPG
R. Hintz (9), E. Lindell (3)
tip-inxG 0.12win prob +2 pts
3-0
13:43

Penalties

4 PIM·

6 PIM

1st

12:28Dylan Larkin · Slashingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min
16:02Nick Caamano · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

2nd

19:05Michael Rasmussen · Trippingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min

3rd

11:49Vladislav Namestnikov · Trippingdrawn by Denis Gurianov2 min
16:09Roope Hintz · Trippingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: DET

Biggest swing: Tanner Kero, 2nd 17:22 — DAL 47% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 1.1 xG · 33 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 2.0 xG · 44 att DET

0 G · 1.1 xG · 33 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.03 G
All situations: 0 G1.1; 1.62 G
Even strength: 0 G0.7; 0.31 G
Power play: 0 G0.4; 0.10 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

68%32%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 1.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

33
Shots on goal: 21; 60%
Faceoffs: 40%; 1/3
Power play: 0/2; 4
Penalty minutes: 6; 26
Hits: 29; 12
Blocked shots: 17; 2
Giveaways: 7; 1
Takeaways: 2

Box score

every player line

Dallas Stars skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
4M. HeiskanenD	0	0	0	+1	3	0.12	2	0	0	—	24:53
23E. LindellD	0	1	1	0	1	0.09	3	3	0	—	22:32
2J. OleksiakD	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	3	0	0	—	20:46
3J. KlingbergD	0	0	0	0	5	0.09	1	1	0	—	20:39
16J. PavelskiC	0	0	0	0	1	0.32	1	0	0	50	20:31
21J. RobertsonL	0	0	0	0	4	0.20	0	0	0	100	19:09
14J. BennL	0	0	0	0	4	0.21	0	1	0	63	18:56
5A. SekeraD	1	0	1	+1	1	0.03	1	0	0	—	16:54
12R. FaksaC	0	1	1	+1	3	0.16	1	1	0	75	15:16
18J. DickinsonC	0	0	0	+1	2	0.20	0	0	0	100	14:46
24R. HintzC	0	1	1	0	2	0.08	1	2	2	43	14:45
34D. GurianovR	0	0	0	+1	1	0.14	1	0	0	—	14:10
25J. KivirantaL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	—	13:43
10T. DellandreaC	1	0	1	+1	3	0.20	3	2	0	50	13:34
44J. HanleyD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	1	0	—	13:04
49R. GardnerC	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	5	0	0	67	11:19
17N. CaamanoR	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	—	10:56
64T. KeroC	1	0	1	+1	2	0.14	2	0	0	0	10:25

Dallas Stars goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
35A. Khudobin(W)	21	21	0	1.000	1.13	+1.13	59:42

Season series

DAL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Dallas Stars at Detroit Red Wings

2nd period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score