Skip to content

St. Louis Blues at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV BSAZ+, BSMW+·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2. The Coyotes came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Bunting's goal at 4:00 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 2.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were STL 22, ARI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Darcy Kuemper stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 2. Clayton Keller (1 G), 3. Michael Bunting (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★★
    ARI
    C. Keller1 G
  2. ★★★
    ARI
    M. Bunting1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL2110407222
ARIARI01021019329

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:23
  2. STL
    T. Bozak(3)PPG
    M. Hoffman (14), V. Dunn (13)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    8:14

2nd period

  1. ARI
    snapxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    1:41
  2. ARI
    C. Keller(13)PPG
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    10:34

3rd period

  1. ARI
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +26 pts
    2-3
    4:00

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·ARI 2 PIM

1st

  • 6:20ARINick Schmaltz · Slashingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min
  • 13:28STLJustin Faulk · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min

2nd

  • 10:19STLSammy Blais · Trippingdrawn by Johan Larsson2 min
  • 15:33STLSammy Blais · Interferencedrawn by Alex Goligoski2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalSTL goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Michael Bunting, 3rd 4:00 — ARI 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.19N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.17M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.13M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.12C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.11J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.11L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.10D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.10A. Goligoski · Goal · xG 0.10P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.08C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.07M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.07L. Pederson · Missed · xG 0.07L. Pederson · Missed · xG 0.07T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.07C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.07O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.07J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.06T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.06C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.06J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.05D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.05T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.04T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.03C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.03C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.02M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.01
ARI3 G · 2.5 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsARI
1.72 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL34%66%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.66 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsARI
22
Shots on goal
29
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
30
Hits
17
11
Blocked shots
24
7
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47T. KrugD000030.13300—22:39
72J. FaulkD000-100.02312—22:38
55C. ParaykoD011000.00320—19:52
90R. O'ReillyC000+120.292105319:30
57D. PerronL011000.02000—18:42
6M. ScandellaD000-100.00210—17:43
10B. SchennC000-110.072005017:15
46J. WalmanD000040.16120—16:59
68M. HoffmanC011040.30010016:32
17J. SchwartzL000010.03100—16:15
29V. DunnD011000.00210—16:14
91V. TarasenkoR000020.10100—15:38
21T. BozakC101030.320106315:13
9S. BlaisL101010.21404—14:57
12Z. SanfordL000000.00200—14:24
49I. BarbashevL000-100.001007111:18
26N. WalkerL000-100.00200—11:08
13K. CliffordL000-110.04110—10:58
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)29263.8972.51-0.4957:50

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).