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Coyotes at Blues
NHL

Utah Mammoth at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
3
St. Louis Blues
▸4
FinalTV FS-A, FS-MW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Utah Mammoth 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blues led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vince Dunn's goal at 11:45 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 2.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were ARI 35, STL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.6 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 32 of 35 (.914). Three stars: 1. Vince Dunn (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G), 3. Christian Dvorak (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    V. Dunn1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Dvorak2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI11119115335
STLSTL11121216429

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    C. Dvorak(4)
    T. Pitlick (2), D. Caggiula (4)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:15
  2. STL
    M. Hoffman(2)
    C. Parayko (5), S. Blais (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    17:25

2nd period

  1. STL
    J. Faulk(3)
    S. Blais (2), V. Dunn (2)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    3:54
  2. ARI
    C. Dvorak(5)PPG
    N. Schmaltz (4), P. Kessel (2)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    6:25
  3. STL
    V. Dunn(3)
    J. Schwartz (6), J. Kyrou (6)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +19 pts
    2-3
    11:45

3rd period

  1. STL
    R. O'Reilly(2)
    J. Kyrou (7), C. Parayko (6)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +10 pts
    2-4
    1:44
  2. ARI
    N. Schmaltz(4)
    C. Garland (5), P. Kessel (3)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +7 pts
    3-4
    17:21

Penalties

ARI 10 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:35ARIClayton Keller · Interferencedrawn by Marco Scandella2 min
  • 17:47ARIJordan Oesterle · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 4:20STLIvan Barbashev · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min
  • 4:50STLMarco Scandella · Hookingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 15:08ARIPhil Kessel · Slashingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min

3rd

  • 0:31ARIDrake Caggiula · High sticking double minordrawn by Oskar Sundqvist4 min
  • 1:25STLDavid Perron · Holdingdrawn by Alex Goligoski2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalARI goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Vince Dunn, 2nd 11:45 — STL 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.21Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.21J. Faulk · Goal · xG 0.17V. Dunn · Goal · xG 0.15R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.13M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.11M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.11D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.08S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.07R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.07B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.05D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.04T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.04O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.00K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 2.4 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsSTL
2.83 G
All situations
4 G2.4
1.32 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
1.11 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI57%43%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsSTL
35
Shots on goal
29
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/2
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
13
19
Blocked shots
16
3
Giveaways
3
0
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000040.42020—22:02
33A. GoligoskiD000-100.01120—21:53
82J. OesterleD000+110.08122—21:15
18C. DvorakC202+270.710105220:22
55J. DemersD000-130.03010—19:43
4N. HjalmarssonD000-100.00120—18:02
81P. KesselR022040.23012—17:55
83C. GarlandR011060.36100—17:54
8N. SchmaltzC112020.220102517:52
16D. BrassardC000-110.171007517:10
17T. PitlickC011+120.0211010016:25
9C. KellerR000010.03002—16:14
79J. GrossD000-210.02010—13:02
91D. CaggiulaL011+120.4211410012:54
22J. LarssonL000-200.002104212:03
28D. HuntL000-200.00310—10:44
15J. HaydenC000-200.00210009:01
29B. HaytonC000-110.051102508:09
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)29254.8622.38-1.6257:20

Season series

ARI leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).