St. Louis Blues at Utah Mammoth
Recap
written from the game dataThe Utah Mammoth beat the St. Louis Blues 1-0. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Clayton Keller's goal at 5:21 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 1.9 to 1.4; shots on goal were STL 24, ARI 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 18 of 19 (.947); Darcy Kuemper stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Darcy Kuemper (24 saves, 1.000), 2. Clayton Keller (1 G), 3. Conor Garland.
Three stars
- ★D. Kuemper24 saves, 1.000

- ★★C. Keller1 G

- ★★★C. Garland

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
1 goal2nd period
0-15:21
Penalties
1st
- 19:34
Ryan O'Reilly · Interferencedrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
2nd
- 9:03
Clayton Keller · Hookingdrawn by Austin Poganski2 min
- 10:29
Lawson Crouse · Delaying game smothering puck2 min
- 19:52
Mackenzie MacEachern · Hookingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min
3rd
- 8:23
Brayden Schenn · Slashingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
- 16:35
Ryan O'Reilly · High stickingdrawn by Alex Goligoski2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Clayton Keller, 2nd 5:21 — 53% → 70%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.90 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.4
- 1.30 G
- Even strength
- 1 G0.9
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 1.35
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 24
- Shots on goal
- 19
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 16
- Hits
- 30
- 8
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 5
- Giveaways
- 3
- 6
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
ARI leads 5-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
