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St. Louis Blues at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV NHLN, FS-A·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the St. Louis Blues 1-0. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Clayton Keller's goal at 5:21 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 1.9 to 1.4; shots on goal were STL 24, ARI 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 18 of 19 (.947); Darcy Kuemper stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Darcy Kuemper (24 saves, 1.000), 2. Clayton Keller (1 G), 3. Conor Garland.

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    D. Kuemper24 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    ARI
    C. Keller1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Garland

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0901203024
ARIARI0101504119

Scoring

1 goal

2nd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    5:21

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:34STLRyan O'Reilly · Interferencedrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min

2nd

  • 9:03ARIClayton Keller · Hookingdrawn by Austin Poganski2 min
  • 10:29ARILawson Crouse · Delaying game smothering puck2 min
  • 19:52STLMackenzie MacEachern · Hookingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min

3rd

  • 8:23STLBrayden Schenn · Slashingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 16:35STLRyan O'Reilly · High stickingdrawn by Alex Goligoski2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalSTL goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Clayton Keller, 2nd 5:21 — ARI 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.17N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.14T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.10N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.09C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.09C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.08C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.08C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.08C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.07C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.07C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.06D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.00D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.00A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI1 G · 1.4 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsARI
1.90 G
All situations
1 G1.4
1.30 G
Even strength
1 G0.9
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL62%38%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 1.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsARI
24
Shots on goal
19
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
30
8
Blocked shots
15
5
Giveaways
3
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000-120.09310—26:44
4C. GunnarssonD000010.03120—21:34
29V. DunnD000030.33000—21:10
49I. BarbashevL000040.23010—20:47
90R. O'ReillyC000-110.012045319:24
10B. SchennC000020.113021818:13
57D. PerronL000-100.06100—17:47
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00300—17:37
70O. SundqvistC000020.530008216:50
25J. KyrouR000020.17000—15:55
47T. KrugD000-130.05010—15:44
55C. ParaykoD000000.02110—15:38
68M. HoffmanC000020.15100014:40
12Z. SanfordL000-100.07000—13:30
61J. de la RoseL000000.000107111:14
28M. MacEachernL000000.00002—09:06
13K. CliffordL000020.07000—08:58
53A. PoganskiR000000.00110—08:14
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)19181.9471.35+0.3558:55

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).