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St. Louis Blues at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV ESPN+, FS-A·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Utah Mammoth 4-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Faulk's goal at 13:05 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 48% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were STL 27, ARI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Justin Faulk (2 G, 1 A), 2. Johan Larsson (1 G), 3. Jordan Binnington (24 saves, .960).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Faulk2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    J. Larsson1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Binnington24 saves, .960

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL11205310427
ARIARI091808125

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    J. Faulk(4)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    2:28

2nd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    8:44

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.16win prob +36 pts
    2-1
    13:05
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.95win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    18:52
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.80
    4-1
    19:35

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:48ARIChristian Fischer · Interferencedrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 14:01STLColton Parayko · Holdingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min

2nd

  • 2:10STLOskar Sundqvist · Holdingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 15:22STLRobert Bortuzzo · Holdingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

3rd

  • 6:08ARIJohan Larsson · Illegal check to headdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalSTL goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Justin Faulk, 3rd 13:05 — STL 48% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.32C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.29C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.11N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.11L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.10C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.08J. Larsson · Goal · xG 0.07C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.06T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.06D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.04C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.04J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.03J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.03T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01
ARI1 G · 1.9 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsARI
4.42 G
All situations
1 G1.9
1.51 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL48%52%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 1.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsARI
27
Shots on goal
25
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
25
18
Blocked shots
14
3
Giveaways
4
1
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD213+240.32220—23:02
47T. KrugD000+110.12130—21:29
90R. O'ReillyC011+310.920104820:56
55C. ParaykoD000010.05022—20:13
29V. DunnD000000.00120—20:09
4C. GunnarssonD011+110.03120—20:03
12Z. SanfordL000020.05020—17:21
49I. BarbashevL101+241.340006717:11
10B. SchennC112+130.940005616:59
57D. PerronL011+120.12000—16:18
70O. SundqvistC000000.001125014:59
68M. HoffmanC011020.09000014:08
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00002—14:05
17J. SchwartzL000-100.0011010014:04
25J. KyrouR011020.17000—12:38
61J. de la RoseL000000.003101710:46
28M. MacEachernL000020.1600010010:36
13K. CliffordL000020.11210—10:27
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)25241.9601.86+0.8658:36

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).