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Predators at Red Wings
NHL

Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸7
Detroit Red Wings
1
FinalTV BSDET, BSSO·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Detroit Red Wings 7-1. The Red Wings scored first; the Predators answered. The Predators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Erik Haula's goal at 6:36 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.4 to 1.8; shots on goal were NSH 32, DET 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 25 of 32 (.781), 3.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Viktor Arvidsson (3 G), 2. Ben Harpur (2 A), 3. Nick Cousins (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    V. Arvidsson3 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    B. Harpur2 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    N. Cousins1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH010310412732
DETDET01011006126

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    D. Helm(3)
    T. Stecher (7), A. Erne (6)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    1:48
  2. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(6)
    N. Cousins (8), M. Ekholm (11)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    2:28
  3. NSH
    E. Haula(4)
    R. Grimaldi (2)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    6:36
  4. NSH
    N. Cousins(4)
    C. Sissons (2), E. Haula (9)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    16:10

3rd period

  1. NSH
    M. Granlund(10)
    B. Harpur (4), M. Ekholm (12)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    7:06
  2. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(7)
    T. Lewington (1), R. Johansen (9)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    10:00
  3. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(8)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.19
    6-1
    11:06
  4. NSH
    Y. Trenin(3)
    C. Sissons (3), B. Harpur (5)
    backhandxG 0.06
    7-1
    15:55

Penalties

NSH 23 PIM·DET 11 PIM

1st

  • 1:24DETMarc Staal · Trippingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 1:24NSHYakov Trenin · Embellishment2 min
  • 5:15NSHTyler Lewington · Holdingdrawn by Valtteri Filppula2 min

2nd

  • 8:50NSHserved by N. Cousins · Bench2 min
  • 8:50DETAdam Erne · Boardingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min
  • 8:50NSHMathieu Olivier · Instigatordrawn by Adam Erne2 min
  • 8:50DETAdam Erne · Fightingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier5 min
  • 8:50NSHMathieu Olivier · Fightingdrawn by Adam Erne5 min
  • 8:50NSHMathieu Olivier · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:29DETDanny DeKeyser · Cross checkingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min

3rd

  • 11:06DETDanny DeKeyser · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Viktor Arvidsson0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalNSH goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Erik Haula, 2nd 6:36 — NSH 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.26G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.23A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.15D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.13S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.12A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.08E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.08E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.07S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.07D. Helm · Goal · xG 0.07E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.05F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.04D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.03J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.03J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.02J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.02M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeKeyser · Missed · xG 0.02C. Djoos · On goal · xG 0.01C. Djoos · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeKeyser · Missed · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.01D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 1.8 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsDET
3.47 G
All situations
1 G1.8
2.57 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.60 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH75%25%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.30 – 1.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsDET
32
Shots on goal
26
73%
Faceoffs
27%
0/1
Power play
0/2
23
Penalty minutes
11
13
Hits
10
14
Blocked shots
5
3
Giveaways
4
1
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14M. EkholmD022+310.05110—21:55
59R. JosiD000+110.01110—21:39
19C. JarnkrokC000+100.0010010019:52
64M. GranlundC101+120.612008619:39
11L. KuninC000+130.12010019:23
23R. GrimaldiR011+200.07010—18:13
5M. BenningD000+120.03020—17:42
33V. ArvidssonL303+360.93020—17:28
56E. HaulaL112+320.412106016:52
17B. HarpurD022+310.02000—16:33
10C. SissonsC022+100.000106415:02
92R. JohansenC011+130.340008014:59
21N. CousinsC112+340.36100014:23
2T. LewingtonD011+230.24022—14:05
22D. FarranceD000+110.02110—13:46
38J. DaviesD000-110.03100—12:49
13Y. TreninC101020.09002010:59
25M. OlivierR000000.003117—08:30
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)26251.9621.83+0.8360:00

Season series

NSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).