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Predators at Red Wings
NHL

Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸2
Detroit Red Wings
0
FinalTV FS-D+, FS-TN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Forsberg's goal at 4:36 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 54% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.0 to 1.4; shots on goal were NSH 33, DET 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Forsberg (1 G, 1 A), 2. Pekka Rinne (24 saves, 1.000), 3. Eeli Tolvanen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    P. Rinne24 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    E. Tolvanen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH09010214233
DETDET0805011024

Scoring

2 goals

3rd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(9)PPG
    R. Josi (7), M. Granlund (5)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +21 pts
    1-0
    4:36
  2. NSH
    E. Tolvanen(2)PPG
    F. Forsberg (8), R. Josi (8)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    2-0
    9:57

Penalties

NSH 2 PIM·DET 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:42DETJon Merrill · Interferencedrawn by Luke Kunin2 min

2nd

  • 5:54DETAdam Erne · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 7:38NSHRoman Josi · Interferencedrawn by Darren Helm2 min

3rd

  • 4:19DETVladislav Namestnikov · Holdingdrawn by Rocco Grimaldi2 min
  • 9:02DETPatrik Nemeth · Hookingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalNSH goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Filip Forsberg, 3rd 4:36 — NSH 54% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Filppula · Missed · xG 0.28A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.13F. Nielsen · Missed · xG 0.12V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.09B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.08D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.06V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.04D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.04C. Djoos · Missed · xG 0.04J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.04F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.03F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.03P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.03B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.03D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.02C. Djoos · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.02L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.02B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.01D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeKeyser · Missed · xG 0.01A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.01
DET0 G · 1.4 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsDET
3.02 G
All situations
0 G1.4
2.60 G
Even strength
0 G1.0
0.42 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH78%22%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 1.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsDET
33
Shots on goal
24
54%
Faceoffs
46%
2/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
33
Hits
16
15
Blocked shots
15
5
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD022050.35112—26:15
4R. EllisD000030.13110—23:10
17B. HarpurD000020.02100—18:53
64M. GranlundC011000.000001018:17
57D. FabbroD000000.00230—17:52
9F. ForsbergL112050.52310—17:35
19C. JarnkrokC000020.251105017:15
95M. DucheneC000030.481006716:12
92R. JohansenC000010.040204115:48
10C. SissonsC000000.023008615:16
5M. BenningD000010.01410—14:54
23R. GrimaldiR000010.39000—14:50
90M. BorowieckiD000000.00630—14:33
33V. ArvidssonL000040.23010—13:58
28E. TolvanenR101030.25310—13:52
11L. KuninC000030.28400013:47
56E. HaulaL000000.002008813:28
21N. CousinsC000000.00100012:05
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(W)242401.0001.38+1.3860:00

Season series

NSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).