Red Wings at Predators 0-2 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Detroit Red Wings

Nashville Predators

▸2

FinalTV FS-D, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathieu Olivier's goal at 10:41 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.3 to 2.3; shots on goal were DET 31, NSH 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 32 of 34 (.941); Juuse Saros stopped 31 of 31 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (31 saves, 1.000), 2. Mikael Granlund (1 G), 3. Mathieu Olivier (1 G).

Three stars

★
J. Saros31 saves, 1.000
★★
M. Granlund1 G
★★★
M. Olivier1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
DET	08	012	011	031
NSH	112	115	07	234

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

M. Granlund(6)PPG
R. Josi (15), E. Tolvanen (6)
deflectedxG 0.18win prob +10 pts
0-1
13:59

2nd period

M. Olivier(2)
Y. Trenin (3), C. Sissons (1)
wristxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
0-2
10:41

Penalties

6 PIM·

8 PIM

1st

13:41Adam Erne · Interferencedrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min

2nd

4:56Viktor Arvidsson · Trippingdrawn by Jon Merrill2 min
7:51Vladislav Namestnikov · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min
15:32Mathieu Olivier · Boardingdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min

3rd

15:36Dylan Larkin · Roughingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min
15:36Erik Haula · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
18:15Dante Fabbro · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: NSH

100%

Biggest swing: Mathieu Olivier, 2nd 10:41 — NSH 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

2 G · 3.3 xG · 46 att

←

attacks

attacks →

0 G · 2.3 xG · 39 att NSH

2 G · 3.3 xG · 46 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.30 G
All situations: 2 G3.3; 1.50 G
Even strength: 1 G2.1; 0.60 G
Power play: 1 G0.2; 0.20 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

50%50%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

31
Shots on goal: 34; 49%
Faceoffs: 51%; 0/3
Power play: 1/2; 6
Penalty minutes: 8; 11
Hits: 7; 9
Blocked shots: 13; 9
Giveaways: 7; 5
Takeaways: 7

Box score

every player line

Detroit Red Wings skaters
Skater	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
17F. HronekD	0	3	0.09	0	0	0	—	24:36
39A. ManthaR	0	2	0.10	1	2	0	100	21:33
71D. LarkinC	0	2	0.34	1	0	2	44	21:10
14R. FabbriC	0	3	0.22	2	1	0	0	20:37
41L. GlendeningC	0	2	0.14	0	0	0	75	17:13
21D. CholowskiD	0	0	0.03	0	0	0	—	16:25
89S. GagnerC	0	3	0.11	0	0	0	33	16:08
18M. StaalD	0	0	0.02	0	0	0	—	16:02
11F. ZadinaR	-1	2	0.15	0	1	0	—	15:56
43D. HelmC	0	4	0.40	0	0	0	0	15:54
54B. RyanR	-1	2	0.14	1	1	0	—	15:51
24J. MerrillD	-1	2	0.03	0	2	0	—	15:23
65D. DeKeyserD	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	—	15:12
73A. ErneL	0	1	0.09	2	0	2	—	15:10
70T. StecherD	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	—	14:42
22P. NemethD	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	—	13:34
92V. NamestnikovC	0	1	0.03	2	0	2	29	12:18
27M. RasmussenC	-1	2	0.35	2	0	0	67	11:28

Detroit Red Wings goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
29T. Greiss(L)	34	32	2	.941	2.26	+0.26	56:30

Season series

NSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Detroit Red Wings at Nashville Predators

1st period

2nd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score