Skip to content
Predators at Red Wings
NHL

Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
Detroit Red Wings
▸5
FinalTV NHLN, FS-D·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Nashville Predators 5-2. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Gagner's goal at 9:58 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.7 to 2.9; shots on goal were NSH 39, DET 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.7 goals below expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Gagner (3 G), 2. Jonathan Bernier (37 saves, .949), 3. Luke Glendening (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    S. Gagner3 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    J. Bernier37 saves, .949
  3. ★★★
    DET
    L. Glendening1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH112013114239
DETDET111110311532

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    L. Glendening(2)
    F. Zadina (4), D. Helm (1)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:55
  2. NSH
    M. Granlund(4)PPG
    R. Josi (9), E. Tolvanen (1)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    14:15

2nd period

  1. DET
    S. Gagner(1)
    B. Ryan (5)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    8:38

3rd period

  1. NSH
    E. Haula(1)
    R. Ellis (7), L. Kunin (3)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    2:55
  2. DET
    S. Gagner(2)
    B. Ryan (6), D. DeKeyser (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +31 pts
    2-3
    9:58
  3. DET
    A. Erne(2)
    D. Helm (2), L. Glendening (4)
    wristxG 0.38win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    16:22
  4. DET
    S. Gagner(3)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.34win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    16:56

Penalties

NSH 8 PIM·DET 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:47NSHColton Sissons · Hookingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min
  • 13:29DETJon Merrill · Elbowingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min

2nd

  • 2:43DETMarc Staal · Trippingdrawn by Eeli Tolvanen2 min
  • 6:23NSHMikael Granlund · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 8:46DETLuke Glendening · Boardingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min

3rd

  • 5:11NSHBen Harpur · Trippingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 13:36DETVladislav Namestnikov · Roughingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 13:36NSHMikael Granlund · Roughingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalNSH goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Sam Gagner, 3rd 9:58 — DET 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Erne · Goal · xG 0.38S. Gagner · Goal · xG 0.34M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.29L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.16V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.13D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.12V. Filppula · Missed · xG 0.12M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.12R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.12F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.12A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.12D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.11F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.11D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.11D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.09F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.09R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.09F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.09D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.09B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.08C. Djoos · On goal · xG 0.06D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.06R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.06R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.06D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.06S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.05L. Glendening · Goal · xG 0.05B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.05S. Gagner · Goal · xG 0.04S. Gagner · Goal · xG 0.04F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.03P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.03J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.03V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.03F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02C. Djoos · Missed · xG 0.02A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.02V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.02V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.00
DET5 G · 3.7 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsDET
2.92 G
All situations
4 G3.7
2.41 G
Even strength
4 G2.8
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH43%57%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.83 – 3.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsDET
39
Shots on goal
32
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
13
Hits
15
13
Blocked shots
9
2
Giveaways
9
0
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011-160.51040—27:01
4R. EllisD011-110.06010—26:18
9F. ForsbergL000-230.50300—18:39
33V. ArvidssonL000-240.40000—17:42
17B. HarpurD000-110.02212—17:21
64M. GranlundC101-330.230042317:09
92R. JohansenC000-110.030102816:30
57D. FabbroD000-110.01010—16:12
95M. DucheneC000-130.241005716:08
90M. BorowieckiD000-220.03120—15:10
23R. GrimaldiR000-120.15000—14:51
19C. JarnkrokC000-100.0000010014:11
56E. HaulaL101030.181007113:50
5M. BenningD000-230.05120—13:35
28E. TolvanenR011020.10000—13:09
10C. SissonsC000-110.171026712:27
21N. CousinsC000000.00100011:47
11L. KuninC011-130.19210010:15
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(L)31274.8713.33-0.6759:45

Season series

NSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).