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Red Wings at Predators
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
Nashville Predators
▸7
FinalTV FS-D, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Detroit Red Wings 7-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rocco Grimaldi's goal at 5:34 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.5 to 1.1; shots on goal were DET 21, NSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.1 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 20 of 21 (.952). Three stars: 1. Rocco Grimaldi (4 G), 2. Erik Haula (2 A), 3. Eeli Tolvanen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. Grimaldi4 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    E. Haula2 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    E. Tolvanen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET1110505121
NSHNSH4131829730

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. Grimaldi(4)
    E. Haula (7), N. Cousins (7)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:34
  2. NSH
    E. Tolvanen(8)PPG
    R. Josi (16), F. Forsberg (18)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +10 pts
    0-2
    7:23
  3. NSH
    R. Grimaldi(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    7:39
  4. NSH
    R. Grimaldi(6)
    E. Haula (8)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +6 pts
    0-4
    8:08
  5. DET
    B. Ryan(7)PPG
    C. Djoos (5), R. Fabbri (7)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    19:05

2nd period

  1. NSH
    M. Granlund(7)
    R. Josi (17), D. Fabbro (9)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    12:19

3rd period

  1. NSH
    M. Olivier(3)
    B. Harpur (2)
    wristxG 0.08
    1-6
    4:29
  2. NSH
    R. Grimaldi(7)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.28
    1-7
    17:29

Penalties

DET 8 PIM·NSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:58DETAnthony Mantha · Trippingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 16:37NSHBen Harpur · Interferencedrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 18:44NSHMathieu Olivier · High stickingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min

2nd

  • 19:07NSHFilip Forsberg · Slashingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min

3rd

  • 7:52DETDylan Larkin · Trippingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 13:31DETAdam Erne · Interferencedrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 17:58NSHMikael Granlund · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 19:16DETBobby Ryan · Hookingdrawn by Rocco Grimaldi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalDET goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Rocco Grimaldi, 1st 5:34 — NSH 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Grimaldi · Goal · xG 0.28R. Grimaldi · Goal · xG 0.28R. Grimaldi · Goal · xG 0.16R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.16C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.14Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.10V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.10Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.10M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.09R. Grimaldi · Goal · xG 0.08M. Olivier · Goal · xG 0.08C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.07R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.06R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.06M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.06E. Tolvanen · Goal · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.04E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.04E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.03E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Harpur · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01B. Harpur · Missed · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.00M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH7 G · 2.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNSH
1.11 G
All situations
7 G2.5
0.70 G
Even strength
6 G2.1
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET22%78%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.10 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNSH
21
Shots on goal
30
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
10
Hits
10
10
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
39A. ManthaR000-110.07012—21:22
17F. HronekD000010.02100—20:29
14R. FabbriC011-110.09020020:10
71D. LarkinC000-210.120024819:58
24J. MerrillD000-220.04000—18:47
44C. DjoosD011-110.08000—17:18
89S. GagnerC000-130.190006317:16
70T. StecherD000-420.03000—16:47
65D. DeKeyserD000010.02030—16:00
27M. RasmussenC000-110.100001415:56
22P. NemethD000-200.01100—15:44
54B. RyanR101-320.14012—15:37
11F. ZadinaR000-200.03100—15:16
43D. HelmC000-100.00010014:54
92V. NamestnikovC000-210.05420014:54
41L. GlendeningC000-120.012009213:29
73A. ErneL000-320.11002—11:22
18M. StaalD000-300.00100—09:32
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Pickard23194.8261.94-2.0652:21
29T. Greiss(L)743.5710.59-2.4107:39

Season series

NSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).