Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Calgary Flames 7-3. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesse Puljujarvi's goal at 7:22 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 60% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were EDM 30, CGY 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Jacob Markstrom stopped 23 of 30 (.767), 4.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (3 A), 2. Tyson Barrie (4 A), 3. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A).
Three stars
- ★L. Draisaitl3 A

- ★★T. Barrie4 A

- ★★★C. McDavid1 G, 2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
10 goals1st period
1-04:39
2-07:22
2nd period
3-08:39
3-19:04
3rd period
4-11:50
5-13:44
6-15:55
7-18:38
7-214:47
7-316:04
Penalties
1st
- 5:34
Brett Ritchie · Slashingdrawn by Kris Russell2 min
- 17:20
Kailer Yamamoto · Trippingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
2nd
- 14:45
Sam Bennett · Cross checkingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
- 17:45
Zack Kassian · Slashingdrawn by Juuso Välimäki2 min
3rd
- 1:14
Mark Giordano · Slashingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
- 3:37
Andrew Mangiapane · High stickingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
- 15:57
Devin Shore · Slashingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jesse Puljujarvi, 1st 7:22 — 60% → 74%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.87 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.5
- 1.94 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.0
- 0.93 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.5
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 2.51
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 33
- 55%
- Faceoffs
- 45%
- 3/4
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 18
- Hits
- 17
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 5
- 7
- Giveaways
- 11
- 2
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
