Skip to content

Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames

FinalTV NBCSN, SN·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Calgary Flames 7-3. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesse Puljujarvi's goal at 7:22 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 60% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were EDM 30, CGY 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Jacob Markstrom stopped 23 of 30 (.767), 4.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (3 A), 2. Tyson Barrie (4 A), 3. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl3 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    T. Barrie4 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM2911348730
CGYCGY0911529333

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:39
  2. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    7:22

2nd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.15win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    8:39
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    9:04

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(18)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    1:50
  2. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.22win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    3:44
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.03
    6-1
    5:55
  4. EDM
    G. Haas (1), D. Nurse (13)
    backhandxG 0.04
    7-1
    8:38
  5. CGY
    snapxG 0.14
    7-2
    14:47
  6. CGY
    slapxG 0.08
    7-3
    16:04

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·CGY 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:34CGYBrett Ritchie · Slashingdrawn by Kris Russell2 min
  • 17:20EDMKailer Yamamoto · Trippingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min

2nd

  • 14:45CGYSam Bennett · Cross checkingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 17:45EDMZack Kassian · Slashingdrawn by Juuso Välimäki2 min

3rd

  • 1:14CGYMark Giordano · Slashingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
  • 3:37CGYAndrew Mangiapane · High stickingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 15:57EDMDevin Shore · Slashingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalEDM goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Jesse Puljujarvi, 1st 7:22 — EDM 60% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.16M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.14E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.14E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.14S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.13J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.12M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.12N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.11E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.11E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.10B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.09M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.09J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.09E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.07M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.06J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.04J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.04O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.04S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.01D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.00M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 2.5 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCGY
2.87 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.94 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.93 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM55%45%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCGY
30
Shots on goal
33
55%
Faceoffs
45%
3/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
17
13
Blocked shots
5
7
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD000-110.02220—22:39
25D. NurseD112+210.04200—21:41
29L. DraisaitlC033+110.090005619:32
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC112+130.4200010018:34
22T. BarrieD044+240.22010—18:13
4K. RussellD000+130.04120—17:46
84W. LagessonD000-110.02100—17:33
74E. BearD000+100.00020—17:31
97C. McDavidC123+150.66200017:08
39A. ChiassonR101-120.29120—16:24
15J. ArchibaldR000-100.00310—15:39
14D. ShoreC000-110.060226215:28
44Z. KassianR101+110.06302—14:23
91G. HaasC011+100.021107014:06
56K. YamamotoR000+110.20002—13:51
21D. KahunC101+120.30100012:55
13J. PuljujarviR112+110.23000—11:41
63T. EnnisR000+130.13100—11:09
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(W)33303.9092.52-0.4859:40

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).