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Flames at Oilers
NHL

Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
1
Edmonton Oilers
▸7
FinalTV NHLN, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Calgary Flames 7-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Mangiapane's goal at 7:54 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 23% to 36%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.8 to 2.7; shots on goal were CGY 44, EDM 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. David Rittich stopped 7 of 9 (.778), 0.8 goals below expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 43 of 44 (.977), 3.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (3 G, 2 A), 2. Mikko Koskinen (43 saves, .977), 3. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid3 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    M. Koskinen43 saves, .977
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY119014011144
EDMEDM3103816724

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    A. Chiasson(3)PPG
    C. McDavid (24), L. Draisaitl (19)
    tip-inxG 0.22win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    3:29
  2. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(8)
    C. McDavid (25), D. Nurse (9)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 pts
    0-2
    5:41
  3. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(6)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (6), E. Lindholm (12)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    7:54
  4. EDM
    C. McDavid(10)PPG
    T. Barrie (13), R. Nugent-Hopkins (9)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    17:11

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(11)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    1:06
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(12)
    K. Russell (3), J. Khaira (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +4 pts
    1-5
    8:12
  3. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(9)PPG
    D. Nurse (10), J. Neal (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    1-6
    12:38

3rd period

  1. EDM
    J. Archibald(4)
    D. Kahun (4), L. Draisaitl (20)
    snapxG 0.23
    1-7
    0:36

Penalties

CGY 15 PIM·EDM 15 PIM

1st

  • 1:46CGYSam Bennett · Interferencedrawn by Slater Koekkoek2 min
  • 3:31CGYSam Bennett · Fightingdrawn by Jujhar Khaira5 min
  • 3:31EDMJujhar Khaira · Fightingdrawn by Sam Bennett5 min
  • 6:59EDMLeon Draisaitl · Interferencedrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 7:54EDMserved by T. Ennis · Delaying game bench2 min
  • 16:55CGYMikael Backlund · Holdingdrawn by Gaetan Haas2 min

2nd

  • 5:24CGYNikita Nesterov · High stickingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 11:14CGYElias Lindholm · Boardingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 13:04EDMJujhar Khaira · Interferencedrawn by Noah Hanifin2 min
  • 16:00EDMKris Russell · High stickingdrawn by Glenn Gawdin2 min

3rd

  • 5:13CGYJuuso Välimäki · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 6:55EDMJosh Archibald · High stickingdrawn by Joakim Nordstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCGY goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Andrew Mangiapane, 1st 7:54 — CGY 23% → 36%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Archibald · Goal · xG 0.23A. Chiasson · Goal · xG 0.22J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.15T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.15R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.13G. Haas · On goal · xG 0.13J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.12T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.10J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.09D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.08J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.08D. Kahun · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.07D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.06T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.05T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.01T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM7 G · 2.7 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsEDM
4.81 G
All situations
7 G2.7
3.20 G
Even strength
4 G1.5
1.21 G
Power play
3 G1.0
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY78%22%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.68 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsEDM
44
Shots on goal
24
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/5
Power play
3/5
15
Penalty minutes
15
32
Hits
37
11
Blocked shots
14
15
Giveaways
21
12
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000-150.17100—24:02
88A. MangiapaneL101-120.5421010023:22
8C. TanevD000030.34120—22:24
5M. GiordanoD000-100.06120—21:35
19M. TkachukL011-270.6960010021:22
28E. LindholmC011050.333126820:07
11M. BacklundC000-140.342024519:41
55N. HanifinD000030.09110—17:37
13J. GaudreauL000010.22100—16:51
17M. LucicL000-340.51500—16:17
29D. DubeC000-220.55000014:32
93S. BennettC000-210.271176714:19
89N. NesterovD000-300.00112—13:13
6J. VälimäkiD000-310.01112—13:10
27J. LeivoL000040.51000—11:30
20J. NordstromC000010.02100010:30
53B. RobinsonR000010.14100—06:28
42G. GawdinC000-100.004104306:04
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich972.7781.21-0.7931:43
25J. Markstrom(L)15105.6671.52-3.4828:17

Season series

EDM leads 6-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).