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Oilers at Flames
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
3
Calgary Flames
▸4
FinalTV ESPN+, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noah Hanifin's goal at 6:32 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.2 to 2.6; shots on goal were EDM 31, CGY 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.4 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 28 of 31 (.903). Three stars: 1. Mikael Backlund (2 A), 2. Andrew Mangiapane (1 G, 1 A), 3. Elias Lindholm (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Backlund2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    A. Mangiapane1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM04213114331
CGYCGY0531319427

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    D. Dube(7)
    E. Lindholm (19)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    5:25
  2. CGY
    E. Lindholm(7)
    O. Kylington (1), D. Dube (7)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    8:57
  3. EDM
    A. Larsson(3)
    K. Yamamoto (9), T. Ennis (6)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    9:49
  4. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(9)
    M. Lucic (5), M. Backlund (9)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    13:45
  5. EDM
    J. Archibald(5)
    D. Shore (4), E. Bear (3)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    17:07

3rd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(17)
    C. McDavid (36)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +27 pts
    3-3
    5:25
  2. CGY
    N. Hanifin(3)
    A. Mangiapane (7), M. Backlund (10)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +28 pts
    3-4
    6:32

Penalties

EDM 11 PIM·CGY 7 PIM

1st

  • 9:35CGYBrett Ritchie · Fightingdrawn by Jujhar Khaira5 min
  • 9:35EDMJujhar Khaira · Fightingdrawn by Brett Ritchie5 min
  • 16:48EDMAlex Chiasson · Trippingdrawn by Brett Ritchie2 min

2nd

  • 18:41CGYMikael Backlund · Interferencedrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min

3rd

  • 2:45EDMDarnell Nurse · Holdingdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min
  • 11:17EDMKailer Yamamoto · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalEDM goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Noah Hanifin, 3rd 6:32 — CGY 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.46M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.31E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.16N. Hanifin · Goal · xG 0.16S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.14M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.12D. Dube · Goal · xG 0.11S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.09S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.07S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.07S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.05J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.05M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.05J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.04M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.04M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.04M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.02M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.02C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 2.6 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCGY
3.23 G
All situations
4 G2.6
2.43 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM59%41%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.06 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCGY
31
Shots on goal
27
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/1
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
7
24
Hits
16
9
Blocked shots
7
8
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000-130.08102—30:15
97C. McDavidC011-130.464107325:52
29L. DraisaitlC101+271.043006425:23
6A. LarssonD101020.38300—22:52
74E. BearD011-110.02120—21:39
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-330.270106020:39
4K. RussellD000+100.04210—20:28
56K. YamamotoR011+110.04102—20:00
84W. LagessonD000-100.00200—14:15
13J. PuljujarviR000-130.21100—13:54
63T. EnnisR011+120.06000—13:40
91G. HaasC000-100.000104213:27
39A. ChiassonR000-210.03202—12:26
15J. ArchibaldR101+140.44210—12:16
14D. ShoreC011+110.01100011:42
18J. NealL000-100.03000—07:05
22T. BarrieD000000.00010—07:02
16J. KhairaL000000.041158002:55
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(L)27234.8522.61-1.3958:10

Season series

EDM leads 6-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).