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Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV NHLN, FS-A·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Utah Mammoth 4-1. The Coyotes scored first; the Wild answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Bonino's goal at 6:03 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.1 to 1.5; shots on goal were ARI 22, MIN 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Cam Talbot stopped 21 of 22 (.955). Three stars: 1. Kevin Fiala (1 G, 1 A), 2. Cam Talbot (21 saves, .955), 3. Jared Spurgeon.

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Fiala1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    C. Talbot21 saves, .955
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI1606010122
MINMIN09114311434

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:27

2nd period

  1. MIN
    backhandxG 0.39win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    6:35

3rd period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.07win prob +27 pts
    1-2
    6:03
  2. MIN
    K. Fiala(9)PPG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    11:10
  3. MIN
    1-4
    19:55

Penalties

ARI 6 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:05MINKirill Kaprizov · High stickingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min

2nd

  • 0:20ARITyler Pitlick · Trippingdrawn by Victor Rask2 min
  • 3:40MINNick Bonino · Trippingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
  • 14:48ARIJakob Chychrun · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 3:41MINNick Bonino · Hookingdrawn by Jason Demers2 min
  • 9:15ARIDryden Hunt · High stickingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalARI goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Bonino, 3rd 6:03 — MIN 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.91V. Rask · Goal · xG 0.39J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.22J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.19K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.17K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.17K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.16K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.14K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.13N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.10N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.08J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.08C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.07V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07N. Bonino · Goal · xG 0.07V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.06N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.05J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.05N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.05K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.04C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.01L. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 4.1 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsMIN
1.51 G
All situations
4 G4.1
1.31 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI20%80%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 3.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsMIN
22
Shots on goal
34
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
15
14
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000-260.16002—25:47
33A. GoligoskiD000-110.04020—23:28
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-110.15520—19:16
81P. KesselR101-120.12000—18:52
55J. DemersD000-110.06120—18:31
83C. GarlandR000-200.0301010018:23
16D. BrassardC000-130.351002718:14
17T. PitlickC000020.1221210016:27
9C. KellerR000-210.050006716:23
18C. DvorakC000010.070005316:05
8N. SchmaltzC000-110.220204416:00
82J. OesterleD000+110.02030—15:58
46I. LyubushkinD000000.00200—14:05
36C. FischerR000000.00200—13:33
67L. CrouseL000000.00210—12:28
22J. LarssonL000000.001005512:15
91D. CaggiulaL000000.01100—11:50
28D. HuntL000020.05202—08:56
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Raanta(L)34313.9123.23+0.2357:34

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).