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Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FS-A, FS-N·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Utah Mammoth 4-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 5:47 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were ARI 25, MIN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Cam Talbot stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (3 G), 2. Cam Talbot (25 saves, 1.000), 3. Mats Zuccarello (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov3 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    C. Talbot25 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI090709025
MINMIN08014410432

Scoring

4 goals

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.09win prob +27 pts
    0-1
    5:47
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    8:10
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.40
    0-3
    19:01
  4. MIN
    wristxG 0.02
    0-4
    19:11

Penalties

ARI 8 PIM·MIN 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:45MINCarson Soucy · Holdingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 16:32MINKevin Fiala · Slashingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 17:04ARIPhil Kessel · Trippingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min

2nd

  • 13:32ARIAlex Goligoski · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 16:21ARIPhil Kessel · Trippingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 19:24ARIDerick Brassard · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

3rd

  • 9:02MINCarson Soucy · Trippingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
  • 12:40MINKirill Kaprizov · Holdingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalARI goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, 3rd 5:47 — MIN 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Brodin · Goal · xG 0.40V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.33K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.23Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.19K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.18J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.15J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.12K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.08N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.07J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.06R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.06R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.06M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.06M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.05M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.04M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 3.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsMIN
2.40 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.40 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
1.00 G
Power play
0 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI45%55%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 2.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsMIN
25
Shots on goal
32
65%
Faceoffs
35%
0/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
4
Hits
5
16
Blocked shots
16
5
Giveaways
7
9
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000-130.16130—25:01
33A. GoligoskiD000020.07112—21:25
18C. DvorakC000-110.270108519:33
8N. SchmaltzC000010.230102919:05
83C. GarlandR000-110.15000—19:05
9C. KellerR000-130.260005019:03
4N. HjalmarssonD000-200.01040—18:33
81P. KesselR000050.70004—18:28
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-240.16000—18:06
17T. PitlickC000-210.06010017:59
82J. OesterleD000-300.00000—17:36
22J. LarssonL000-110.010005314:20
55J. DemersD000000.00010—14:16
16D. BrassardC000-210.010127513:52
67L. CrouseL000-220.31010—13:52
36C. FischerR000-100.0012010010:17
15J. HaydenC000-100.00000006:49
26M. ChaputC000-100.001006706:26
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Hill(L)31283.9032.65-0.3558:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).