Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Utah Mammoth 4-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 5:47 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were ARI 25, MIN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Cam Talbot stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (3 G), 2. Cam Talbot (25 saves, 1.000), 3. Mats Zuccarello (3 A).
Three stars
- ★K. Kaprizov3 G

- ★★C. Talbot25 saves, 1.000

- ★★★M. Zuccarello3 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals3rd period
0-15:47
0-28:10
0-319:01
0-419:11
Penalties
1st
- 4:45
Carson Soucy · Holdingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
- 16:32
Kevin Fiala · Slashingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
- 17:04
Phil Kessel · Trippingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min
2nd
- 13:32
Alex Goligoski · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
- 16:21
Phil Kessel · Trippingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
- 19:24
Derick Brassard · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
3rd
- 9:02
Carson Soucy · Trippingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
- 12:40
Kirill Kaprizov · Holdingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, 3rd 5:47 — 52% → 79%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.40 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.1
- 1.40 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.5
- 1.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 2.63
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 65%
- Faceoffs
- 35%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 0/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 4
- Hits
- 5
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 5
- Giveaways
- 7
- 9
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
