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NHL

Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
2
Utah Mammoth
▸5
FinalTV FS-A, FS-N·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Minnesota Wild 5-2. The Coyotes came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Conor Garland's goal at 3:57 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 56% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 3.5 to 2.5; shots on goal were MIN 34, ARI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.5 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Conor Garland (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tyler Pitlick (2 G), 3. Jakob Chychrun (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    C. Garland1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    T. Pitlick2 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    J. Chychrun1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN21407013234
ARIARI07211313531

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Dumba(5)
    N. Bjugstad (4), Z. Parise (7)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    14:20
  2. MIN
    J. Greenway(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    15:12

2nd period

  1. ARI
    L. Crouse(1)
    C. Garland (14), N. Schmaltz (9)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    1:25
  2. ARI
    J. Chychrun(6)
    J. Larsson (1), D. Brassard (5)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    13:32

3rd period

  1. ARI
    C. Garland(8)PPG
    D. Brassard (6), C. Keller (9)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +22 pts
    2-3
    3:57
  2. ARI
    T. Pitlick(4)
    N. Hjalmarsson (3), C. Keller (10)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    2-4
    6:15
  3. ARI
    T. Pitlick(5)EN
    N. Hjalmarsson (4), C. Dvorak (8)
    wristxG 0.94
    2-5
    19:13

Penalties

MIN 13 PIM·ARI 9 PIM

1st

  • 16:10MINRyan Suter · Slashingdrawn by Johan Larsson2 min
  • 18:39ARIJohn Hayden · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 18:39MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by John Hayden5 min

2nd

  • 6:34ARIJordan Oesterle · Slashingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 9:02MINMarcus Foligno · Hookingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 10:00ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Elbowingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 19:37MINIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min

3rd

  • 2:06MINBrad Hunt · Slashingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalMIN goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Conor Garland, 3rd 3:57 — ARI 56% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Pitlick · Goal · xG 0.95D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.18T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.15L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.14T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.14T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.13C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.12D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.12T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.11T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.10C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.10N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.10C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.09C. Garland · Goal · xG 0.09C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.09J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.08C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.08J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hjalmarsson · Missed · xG 0.06C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.06T. Pitlick · Goal · xG 0.05P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.05T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.04C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.04O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.04D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.04J. Demers · Missed · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI5 G · 3.5 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsARI
2.52 G
All situations
4 G3.5
2.32 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN50%50%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsARI
34
Shots on goal
31
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
9
17
Hits
26
18
Blocked shots
8
2
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD101+160.58120—25:57
25J. BrodinD000+110.03240—24:59
20R. SuterD000050.06022—24:04
46J. SpurgeonD000040.26320—23:30
14J. Eriksson EkC000-110.110105720:42
22K. FialaL000010.09000—18:40
18J. GreenwayL101030.13010—18:34
97K. KaprizovL000-320.130105017:20
36M. ZuccarelloR000-320.19000—16:32
17M. FolignoL000010.06507—15:27
11Z. PariseL011+110.13110—14:41
49V. RaskC000-200.001005014:26
27N. BjugstadC011+150.591003013:15
28I. ColeD000-300.00112—10:52
13N. BoninoC000000.000004010:07
7N. SturmC000010.09000009:24
77B. HuntD000-300.00112—08:49
37K. RauC000010.05120007:08
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(L)30264.8672.54-1.4657:42

Season series

MIN leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).