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Coyotes at Wild
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild

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Utah Mammoth
0
Minnesota Wild
▸3
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-A·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Utah Mammoth 3-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mats Zuccarello's goal at 2:07 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 77% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 2.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were ARI 31, MIN 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.1 goals below expected; Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 31 of 31 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kaapo Kahkonen (31 saves, 1.000), 2. Jared Spurgeon (1 G), 3. Ian Cole.

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kahkonen31 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    I. Cole

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI01103017031
MINMIN1901324326

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    R. Hartman(4)
    J. Greenway (15), K. Fiala (5)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:37

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(5)
    C. Soucy (7), K. Kaprizov (15)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    2:07
  2. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(1)
    R. Suter (9), N. Bonino (4)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +2 pts
    0-3
    13:57

Penalties

ARI 31 PIM·MIN 16 PIM

1st

  • 10:48MINCarson Soucy · Elbowingdrawn by Conor Garland5 min
  • 15:58MINCarson Soucy · Fightingdrawn by Lawson Crouse5 min
  • 15:58ARILawson Crouse · Instigatordrawn by Carson Soucy2 min
  • 15:58ARILawson Crouse · Fightingdrawn by Carson Soucy5 min
  • 15:58ARILawson Crouse · Instigator misconductdrawn by Carson Soucy10 min
  • 15:58ARILawson Crouse · Aggressordrawn by Carson Soucy10 min

2nd

  • 6:19MINJordan Greenway · Illegal check to headdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 15:24ARIIlya Lyubushkin · High stickingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min

3rd

  • 4:26MINJonas Brodin · Slashingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 5:17MINJordan Greenway · Hookingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 8:00ARIJason Demers · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalARI goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Mats Zuccarello, 3rd 2:07 — MIN 77% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.24Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.20M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.19K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.13J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.10R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.09J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.08J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.07N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.06J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.05V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.01
MIN3 G · 1.9 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsMIN
2.50 G
All situations
3 G1.9
1.60 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI61%39%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 1.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsMIN
31
Shots on goal
26
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/4
Power play
0/3
31
Penalty minutes
16
9
Hits
12
5
Blocked shots
13
5
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000-140.08030—25:55
33A. GoligoskiD000-110.01000—25:35
9C. KellerR000-240.64100—21:03
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-210.06100—19:44
8N. SchmaltzC000-240.410005019:36
81P. KesselR000010.05000—18:49
18C. DvorakC000-120.330004218:00
91D. CaggiulaL000-100.00100—17:56
17T. PitlickC000-200.01010016:56
55J. DemersD000-200.17002—16:03
83C. GarlandR000-120.09000—15:01
16D. BrassardC000010.030007314:59
4N. HjalmarssonD000010.01200—14:47
22J. LarssonL000030.232105014:13
36C. FischerR000020.0510010013:28
46I. LyubushkinD000010.03102—11:10
24H. FaschingR000030.25000—08:18
67L. CrouseL000010.01002710003:02
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Hill(L)26233.8851.90-1.1059:25

Season series

MIN leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).