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Kings at Wild
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
3
Minnesota Wild
▸4
Final/OTTV FS-N, FS-W·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-3 in overtime, Mathew Dumba scoring at 4:59. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Dumba's goal at 4:59 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.1 to 1.3; shots on goal were LAK 28, MIN 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 38 of 42 (.905), 0.9 goals below expected; Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mathew Dumba (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G), 3. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Dumba1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
LAKLAK0112101601328
MINMIN271200916442

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(8)
    K. Fiala (3), J. Greenway (11)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    14:17
  2. MIN
    N. Sturm(3)
    N. Bjugstad (3), M. Dumba (4)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    17:25

2nd period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(6)
    V. Rask (4), R. Suter (8)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    1:22
  2. LAK
    D. Doughty(5)PPG
    A. Kempe (7), A. Kopitar (18)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    2:51
  3. LAK
    A. Wagner(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    11:41

3rd period

  1. LAK
    A. Kempe(5)PPG
    D. Doughty (12), A. Kopitar (19)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +33 pts
    3-3
    17:15

Overtime

  1. MIN
    M. Dumba(4)
    M. Zuccarello (8), J. Greenway (12)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    4:59

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·MIN 8 PIM

2nd

  • 1:42MINCarson Soucy · Boardingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 4:57LAKJeff Carter · Holding the stickdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 8:04LAKTobias Bjornfot · Holdingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min
  • 19:44MINMarcus Foligno · Boardingdrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min

3rd

  • 10:58MINKevin Fiala · Holding the stickdrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min
  • 17:09MINNick Bjugstad · Hookingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min

OT

  • 2:22LAKJeff Carter · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalLAK goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Mathew Dumba, OT 4:59 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.21M. Dumba · Goal · xG 0.18K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.16K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.16J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.15K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.15J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.14N. Sturm · Goal · xG 0.14R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.13R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.13K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.09J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.07V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.05K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.04J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.04K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.03J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.02V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.02J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 3.1 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsMIN
1.33 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.11 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
0.22 G
Power play
0 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK19%81%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.29 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsMIN
28
Shots on goal
42
56%
Faceoffs
44%
2/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
18
14
Blocked shots
18
2
Giveaways
3
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD112010.07020—30:54
44M. AndersonD000+110.02210—25:09
11A. KopitarC022-110.022005923:40
19A. IafalloL000-100.00100—20:01
23D. BrownR000-240.11210—19:15
26S. WalkerD000-140.11130—18:08
6O. MaattaD000-210.02010—17:54
22A. AthanasiouC000-120.07000017:40
13G. VilardiC000-100.001003817:21
9A. KempeR112050.24000—16:43
3M. RoyD000-230.17120—16:30
77J. CarterC000-230.16004015:29
33T. BjornfotD000-210.09312—14:00
12T. MooreL000000.01100—12:59
10M. AmadioR000+100.000208012:05
91C. GrundstromR000010.04400—12:00
46B. LizotteC000-100.020006411:22
27A. WagnerL101010.16210—11:00
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Petersen(O)42384.9053.06-0.9464:23

Season series

MIN leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).