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Minnesota Wild at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Minnesota Wild 4-0. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Trevor Moore's goal at 12:03 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were MIN 28, LAK 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.7 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Quick (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Jaret Anderson-Dolan (1 G, 1 A), 3. Gabriel Vilardi (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    J. Quick28 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    LAK
    J. Anderson-Dolan1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    G. Vilardi1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN03015010028
LAKLAK1911327429

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.05win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    3:26

2nd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    12:03

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.14win prob +1 pts
    0-3
    16:56
  2. LAK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.50
    0-4
    19:23

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:58MINNick Bjugstad · Hookingdrawn by Austin Strand2 min
  • 15:53MINRyan Hartman · Slashingdrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min

2nd

  • 3:32LAKAustin Strand · Holdingdrawn by Gerry Mayhew2 min
  • 6:48LAKMikey Anderson · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 17:29LAKCarl Grundstrom · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

3rd

  • 6:00MINRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Jaret Anderson-Dolan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalMIN goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Trevor Moore, 2nd 12:03 — LAK 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Doughty · Goal · xG 0.50T. Moore · Goal · xG 0.17M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.15A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.14T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.14G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.14D. Brown · Goal · xG 0.14A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.12T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.11J. Anderson-Dolan · On goal · xG 0.11T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.11G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.10G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.09O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.08L. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.08D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.08J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.08D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.07J. Anderson-Dolan · Goal · xG 0.05A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.05M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.03D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.03M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.03G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.03C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.02T. Bjornfot · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.02M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.02M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02T. Bjornfot · Missed · xG 0.02T. Bjornfot · Missed · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.02C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02A. Strand · Missed · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.01M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01L. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 3.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsLAK
2.30 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.60 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN49%51%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 2.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsLAK
28
Shots on goal
29
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
36
Hits
15
12
Blocked shots
12
0
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000-210.07110—27:49
24M. DumbaD000-130.16120—24:16
97K. KaprizovL000-250.35100—20:54
59C. AddisonD000-120.03010—19:41
22K. FialaL000-110.18000—19:30
14J. Eriksson EkC000-130.567004819:05
57D. MermisD000010.05520—17:16
18J. GreenwayL000-100.09010—17:03
90M. JohanssonL000-110.050003115:52
11Z. PariseL000-200.06000—15:19
17M. FolignoL000010.12610—14:05
47L. BelpedioD000-120.08310—13:58
44M. BartkowskiD000-120.03110—13:02
36M. ZuccarelloR000020.17200—13:00
27N. BjugstadC000-120.122124011:58
38R. HartmanR000-100.0020410011:30
26G. MayhewC000010.13210011:00
41L. JohnsonC000010.043005610:54
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34K. Kahkonen(L)28253.8932.35-0.6558:20

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).