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Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FS-N, FS-W·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-3. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Bjugstad's goal at 18:38 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 75% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were LAK 35, MIN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.9 goals below expected; Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G), 2. Jonas Brodin (2 A), 3. Drew Doughty (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Brodin2 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK06215114335
MINMIN31011216528

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.03win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    3:33
  2. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    8:17
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.13win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    12:55

2nd period

  1. LAK
    D. Brown(3)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    3:19
  2. LAK
    slapxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    9:07
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    18:38

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.14win prob +5 pts
    2-5
    4:44
  2. LAK
    slapxG 0.05win prob +3 pts
    3-5
    9:41

Penalties

LAK 15 PIM·MIN 32 PIM

1st

  • 0:03LAKKurtis MacDermid · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 0:03MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid5 min
  • 14:54LAKBlake Lizotte · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

2nd

  • 0:51MINMarcus Foligno · Slashingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 3:12MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by Austin Wagner2 min
  • 4:01LAKKurtis MacDermid · Slashingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min
  • 5:34MINKevin Fiala · Boardingdrawn by Matt Roy5 min
  • 5:34MINKevin Fiala · Game misconductdrawn by Matt Roy10 min
  • 12:09MINNick Bjugstad · Delaying game face off violation2 min

3rd

  • 2:30LAKDustin Brown · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 5:03LAKAustin Wagner · Roughingdrawn by Carson Soucy2 min
  • 5:03LAKAustin Wagner · Roughingdrawn by Carson Soucy2 min
  • 5:03MINCarson Soucy · Roughingdrawn by Austin Wagner2 min
  • 7:16MINMathew Dumba · Trippingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid2 min
  • 18:08MINKaapo Kahkonen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalLAK goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Bjugstad, 2nd 18:38 — MIN 75% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Bjugstad · Goal · xG 0.18N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.17K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.15M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.14K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.14J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.13K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.13N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.13N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.10N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.08V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.05J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.04J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.04J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.00N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 2.1 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsMIN
2.43 G
All situations
5 G2.1
1.61 G
Even strength
5 G1.7
0.82 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK57%43%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsMIN
35
Shots on goal
28
55%
Faceoffs
45%
2/7
Power play
0/4
15
Penalty minutes
32
9
Hits
10
7
Blocked shots
22
5
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD112-130.30010—32:21
11A. KopitarC022040.400004823:21
19A. IafalloL101040.17200—22:08
44M. AndersonD000-200.00010—21:42
9A. KempeR000-130.33000—20:39
77J. CarterC000-220.05210019:27
23D. BrownR112010.10102—19:07
58K. ClagueD011-100.00000—19:00
13G. VilardiC000-110.051007715:45
26S. WalkerD000-120.04010—14:10
24L. AnderssonC000-230.15000013:30
10M. AmadioR011-200.000007513:22
56K. MacDermidL000-110.03117—12:49
91C. GrundstromR000-120.12000—11:19
46B. LizotteC000-120.180025009:51
12T. MooreL000-130.30010—09:43
27A. WagnerL000-130.14104—09:28
3M. RoyD000-210.07110—07:20
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)28235.8212.07-2.9357:23

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).