Minnesota Wild at Los Angeles Kings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-3 in overtime, Kirill Kaprizov scoring at 3:47. The Wild came back from two goals down. The Kings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 3:47 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.1 to 2.8; shots on goal were MIN 27, LAK 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Jonathan Quick stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jonas Brodin (1 G), 3. Dustin Brown (1 G).
Three stars
- ★K. Kaprizov1 G, 2 A

- ★★J. Brodin1 G

- ★★★D. Brown1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-016:06
1-119:57
2nd period
1-27:12
1-317:05
3rd period
2-33:15
3-39:42
Overtime
4-33:47
Penalties
1st
- 1:17
Mathew Dumba · High stickingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
2nd
- 1:42
Mark Alt · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
- 5:33
Kale Clague · Hookingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
- 6:09
Kevin Fiala · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jonathan Quick2 min
- 7:36
Dustin Brown · Holdingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min
- 10:24
served by M. Luff · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 15:11
Jonas Brodin · Holdingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
- 18:32
Blake Lizotte · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
3rd
- 5:38
Marcus Johansson · Slashingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min
- 19:00
Olli Maatta · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, OT 3:47 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.84 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.1
- 1.44 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.3
- 1.30 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.8
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.74 – 3.05
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 39%
- Faceoffs
- 61%
- 0/6
- Power play
- 1/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 12
- 22
- Hits
- 18
- 7
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 2
- Giveaways
- 8
- 1
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
MIN leads 6-2
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
