Kings at Wild 2-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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Los Angeles Kings

▸2

Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FS-N, FS-W·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Minnesota Wild 2-1. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carl Grundstrom's goal at 5:08 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were LAK 21, MIN 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cal Petersen (32 saves, .970), 2. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G), 3. Carl Grundstrom (1 G).

Three stars

★
C. Petersen32 saves, .970
★★
J. Eriksson Ek1 G
★★★
C. Grundstrom1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
LAK	012	14	15	221
MIN	06	013	114	133

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

K. MacDermid(1)
A. Athanasiou (2), J. Carter (5)
wristxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
1-0
4:02

3rd period

J. Eriksson Ek(4)
M. Foligno (2), J. Greenway (5)
backhandxG 0.09win prob +25 pts
1-1
1:09
C. Grundstrom(2)
T. Moore (3), S. Walker (2)
wristxG 0.06win prob +28 pts
2-1
5:08

Penalties

6 PIM·

6 PIM

1st

1:38Ian Cole · Trippingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min
12:56Carson Soucy · High sticking double minordrawn by Lias Andersson4 min

2nd

10:46Drew Doughty · Interferencedrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
18:10Trevor Moore · High stickingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

3rd

1:09served by C. Grundstrom · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: MIN

Biggest swing: Carl Grundstrom, 3rd 5:08 — LAK 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 2.8 xG · 42 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 1.7 xG · 31 att MIN

1 G · 2.8 xG · 42 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

1.72 G
All situations: 1 G2.8; 0.72 G
Even strength: 1 G2.1; 0.50 G
Power play: 0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

23%77%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.26 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

21
Shots on goal: 33; 51%
Faceoffs: 49%; 0/3
Power play: 0/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 6; 8
Hits: 15; 18
Blocked shots: 10; 7
Giveaways: 13; 5
Takeaways: 10

Box score

every player line

Los Angeles Kings skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
8D. DoughtyD	0	0	0	-1	3	0.10	0	0	2	—	23:32
44M. AndersonD	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	2	1	0	—	21:02
11A. KopitarC	0	0	0	-1	0	0.40	0	1	0	52	19:59
26S. WalkerD	0	1	1	+2	2	0.04	1	2	0	—	19:21
19A. IafalloL	0	0	0	-1	3	0.25	0	2	0	—	19:12
9A. KempeR	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	2	0	—	18:14
3M. RoyD	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	2	0	—	18:01
58K. ClagueD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	—	17:29
77J. CarterC	0	1	1	+1	3	0.29	0	0	0	0	16:47
56K. MacDermidL	1	0	1	+2	2	0.13	1	3	0	—	15:30
10M. AmadioR	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	0	2	0	57	14:09
46B. LizotteC	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	50	13:54
13G. VilardiC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	45	13:31
22A. AthanasiouC	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	0	13:27
23D. BrownR	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	—	13:26
91C. GrundstromR	1	0	1	+1	1	0.08	2	0	0	—	12:38
12T. MooreL	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	0	0	2	100	11:54
24L. AnderssonC	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	0	0	100	11:54

Los Angeles Kings goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
40C. Petersen(W)	33	32	1	.970	2.75	+1.75	60:00

Season series

MIN leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild

2nd period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score