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St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks

Final/OTTV FS-MW, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2 in overtime, Evander Kane scoring at 0:41. The Blues scored first; the Sharks answered. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evander Kane's goal at 0:41 of overtime, which took the Sharks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were STL 26, SJS 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.2 goals below expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Evander Kane (1 G), 2. Ryan O'Reilly (2 A), 3. Ryan Donato (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    E. Kane1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly2 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    R. Donato2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL161160400226
SJSSJS06151811320

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    slapxG 0.01win prob +6 pts
    1-0
    4:16

2nd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    7:00
  2. STL
    B. Schenn(12)PPG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    19:06

3rd period

  1. SJS
    L. Couture(13)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.25win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    7:58

Overtime

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.02win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    0:41

Penalties

STL 9 PIM·SJS 13 PIM

1st

  • 2:35STLKyle Clifford · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis Gabriel5 min
  • 2:35SJSKurtis Gabriel · Fightingdrawn by Kyle Clifford5 min
  • 14:42SJSNikolai Knyzhov · Holdingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min

2nd

  • 9:06SJSJoel Kellman · Delaying game face off violation2 min
  • 14:34SJSKevin Labanc · High stickingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min
  • 18:27SJSKevin Labanc · Trippingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min

3rd

  • 3:45STLRyan O'Reilly · Hookingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 7:49STLJordan Kyrou · Trippingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalSTL goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Evander Kane, OT 0:41 — SJS 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Couture · Goal · xG 0.25L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.15R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.13M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.11L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.11D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.10R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.10R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.09E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.08M. Vlasic · Goal · xG 0.07D. Gambrell · Missed · xG 0.06R. Balcers · Missed · xG 0.06J. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.06E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05R. Balcers · Missed · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Knyzhov · On goal · xG 0.01
SJS3 G · 1.8 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsSJS
2.32 G
All situations
3 G1.8
1.81 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL59%41%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 1.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsSJS
26
Shots on goal
20
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/4
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
13
18
Hits
18
15
Blocked shots
18
5
Giveaways
7
9
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000-210.04120—25:01
47T. KrugD000040.11200—23:44
29V. DunnD000030.15010—23:00
90R. O'ReillyC022000.020225921:55
6M. ScandellaD000000.04010—21:02
57D. PerronL011-120.52100—19:27
10B. SchennC101030.391104719:21
91V. TarasenkoR011+110.05100—18:45
25J. KyrouR000+110.1501210018:08
68M. HoffmanC000020.21000017:06
12Z. SanfordL000020.160005714:52
41R. BortuzzoD000+100.00330—13:18
9S. BlaisL000010.15200—13:13
28M. MacEachernL000010.06100—11:22
26N. WalkerL000010.01130—10:28
77N. MikkolaD101010.01100—10:13
13K. CliffordL000-120.12015—09:43
54D. JoshuaC000-110.084007009:39
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(O)20173.8501.81-1.1960:17

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).