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San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV FS-MW, NBCSCA·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the St. Louis Blues 5-4. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 4-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Couture's goal at 11:51 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 48% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 2.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were SJS 27, STL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 2.1 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Couture (2 G), 2. Jordan Kyrou (1 G, 2 A), 3. Rudolfs Balcers (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    L. Couture2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Kyrou1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    R. Balcers1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS21021017527
STLSTL0941508432

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:24
  2. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    10:10

2nd period

  1. SJS
    snapxG 0.16win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    3:48
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    4:45
  3. SJS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    8:18
  4. STL
    T. Krug (10), B. Schenn (7)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    4-2
    8:37
  5. STL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    15:30
  6. STL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +23 pts
    4-4
    18:41

3rd period

  1. SJS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.29win prob +35 pts
    5-4
    11:51

Penalties

SJS 8 PIM·STL 2 PIM

1st

  • 15:00SJSLogan Couture · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

2nd

  • 19:25SJSTimo Meier · High stickingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min

3rd

  • 7:58SJSNikolai Knyzhov · Interferencedrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min
  • 7:58STLMike Hoffman · Embellishment2 min
  • 15:24SJSMario Ferraro · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalSJS goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Logan Couture, 3rd 11:51 — SJS 48% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.30B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.15J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.13J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.11Z. Sanford · Goal · xG 0.09K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.07K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.07K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.07B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.07M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.06O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.05D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.04R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02C. Gunnarsson · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.01M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.00T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.00J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 1.9 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsSTL
2.35 G
All situations
4 G1.9
2.35 G
Even strength
4 G1.6
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS57%43%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 1.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsSTL
27
Shots on goal
32
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/0
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
17
17
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
12
13
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD000030.12060—29:31
38M. FerraroD000+100.01012—26:36
44M. VlasicD000000.01120—23:02
48T. HertlC011+130.192105021:34
9E. KaneL112+150.3411010021:27
71N. KnyzhovD000+110.00102—21:04
39L. CoutureC202+120.422024420:09
62K. LabancR022+110.16110—16:55
92R. BalcersL101+220.29010—15:23
28T. MeierR000+130.170023314:47
12P. MarleauC101010.071003813:38
83M. NietoL000000.00110—13:02
33F. ClaessonD000010.01200—10:08
16R. DonatoC000-120.24100010:05
53N. MelocheD000010.03020—09:57
7D. GambrellC000-110.201105008:29
43J. LeonardL000-100.00100—08:27
73N. GregorL000-110.03200—07:31
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(W)32284.8751.94-2.0660:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).