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San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues

Final/OTTV FS-MW, NBCSCA·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2 in overtime, David Perron scoring at 4:00. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Sharks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Perron's goal at 4:00 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.5 to 2.4; shots on goal were SJS 32, STL 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 42 of 45 (.933); Jordan Binnington stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. David Perron (1 G, 2 A), 2. Mike Hoffman (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jordan Binnington (30 saves, .938).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    D. Perron1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    M. Hoffman1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Binnington30 saves, .938

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SJSSJS0102120901232
STLSTL11208115110345

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.16win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    6:12

2nd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.15win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    8:27
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.11win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    14:31

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +46 pts
    2-2
    19:20

Overtime

  1. STL
    D. Perron(6)PPG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    4:00

Penalties

SJS 8 PIM·STL 2 PIM

1st

  • 0:57STLVince Dunn · High stickingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 5:00SJSBrent Burns · Interferencedrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 19:56SJSRyan Donato · High stickingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min

3rd

  • 15:14SJSTimo Meier · Trippingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min

OT

  • 3:21SJSPatrick Marleau · Hookingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalSJS goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: David Perron, OT 4:00 — STL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.22D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.17B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.17M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.16K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.16S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.14D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.12I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.12O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.12J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.12R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.11B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.11O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.10M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.10K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.10J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.09B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.08M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.06M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.05O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.04K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scandella · Missed · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.01I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.00M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.00M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.00K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 3.5 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsSTL
2.42 G
All situations
3 G3.5
2.32 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.00 G
Power play
2 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS32%68%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 3.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsSTL
32
Shots on goal
45
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/1
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
31
Hits
27
17
Blocked shots
4
18
Giveaways
9
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD000-140.41012—28:42
38M. FerraroD000-110.01720—27:04
71N. KnyzhovD000000.00430—22:10
44M. VlasicD000000.00230—21:20
48T. HertlC000000.110105020:44
39L. CoutureC000040.271105419:08
28T. MeierR000050.32002—16:58
9E. KaneL000-130.41120—16:39
43J. LeonardL101+130.17000—16:03
62K. LabancR000030.08100—15:50
12P. MarleauC011+110.101125015:15
7D. GambrellC011020.122004314:52
83M. NietoL000010.04100—13:16
16R. DonatoC011+110.00402012:43
33F. ClaessonD000+210.02200—12:35
92R. BalcersL000010.01120—11:50
53N. MelocheD011+200.00110—10:58
73N. GregorL101+120.28300—10:41
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(O)45423.9333.46+0.4664:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).