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San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV FS-MW, NBCSCA·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the San Jose Sharks 5-4. The Blues came back from two goals down. The Blues led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Kyrou's goal at 10:28 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.3 to 1.4; shots on goal were SJS 26, STL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 2.7 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Justin Faulk (2 G), 2. Jordan Kyrou (1 G, 1 A), 3. Logan Couture (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Faulk2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Kyrou1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    L. Couture2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS281919426
STLSTL01341218533

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    slapxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:38
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    14:18

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    2:36
  2. STL
    slapxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    4:09
  3. SJS
    B. Burns(1)PPG
    E. Kane (3), T. Hertl (3)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    12:06
  4. STL
    wristxG 0.19win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    14:17
  5. STL
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +23 pts
    3-4
    19:00

3rd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +26 pts
    4-4
    4:17
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +32 pts
    4-5
    10:28

Penalties

SJS 6 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:15SJSKevin Labanc · Slashingdrawn by Carl Gunnarsson2 min
  • 13:47STLOskar Sundqvist · Slashingdrawn by Logan Couture2 min
  • 14:28SJSNoah Gregor · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

2nd

  • 0:29STLJustin Faulk · Trippingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 11:43STLRyan O'Reilly · Holdingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min

3rd

  • 1:37SJSTomas Hertl · Trippingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalSJS goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Kyrou, 3rd 10:28 — STL 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.19M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.17J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.15C. Gunnarsson · On goal · xG 0.13B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.12C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.12J. Faulk · Goal · xG 0.10J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.10J. Faulk · Goal · xG 0.10J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.07B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.06B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.03D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.03K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.03I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.00M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.00
STL5 G · 2.3 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsSTL
1.44 G
All situations
5 G2.3
0.72 G
Even strength
5 G2.2
0.62 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS32%68%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.35 – 2.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsSTL
26
Shots on goal
33
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
8
Hits
13
10
Blocked shots
3
5
Giveaways
1
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD123-240.26020—28:39
65E. KarlssonD000-320.13010—25:14
38M. FerraroD000-120.07220—22:31
9E. KaneL011-230.1020010021:01
48T. HertlC022-200.000125520:59
44M. VlasicD000-100.00100—20:44
39L. CoutureC213+130.270105717:36
20M. SorensenL000000.00110—15:05
28T. MeierR000010.05000—14:38
62K. LabancR112020.08112—14:10
83M. NietoL000010.01000—14:08
16R. DonatoC000-120.130005013:08
51R. SimekD011000.01110—12:49
43J. LeonardL000-240.22000—12:46
12P. MarleauC000-200.020003312:33
71N. KnyzhovD000+110.00000—10:03
37F. HandemarkC000-100.000004009:44
73N. GregorL000010.010023309:04
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(L)33285.8482.26-2.7458:52

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).