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San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche

Final/OTTV NBCSN, CBC·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 4-3 in overtime, Gabriel Landeskog scoring at 2:32. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Landeskog's goal at 2:32 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals were close — SJS 2.6, COL 2.4; shots on goal were SJS 22, COL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.6 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 19 of 22 (.864). Three stars: 1. Gabriel Landeskog (1 G), 2. J.T. Compher (2 G, 1 A), 3. Marc-Edouard Vlasic (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    G. Landeskog1 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    J. Compher2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    M. Vlasic2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SJSSJS05281801322
COLCOL011281512426

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    4:05
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.23win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    14:36
  3. COL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    18:44
  4. SJS
    wristxG 0.09win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    19:50

3rd period

  1. COL
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +26 pts
    2-3
    4:00
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.09win prob +40 pts
    3-3
    17:32

Overtime

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.17win prob +48 pts
    3-4
    2:32

Penalties

SJS 6 PIM·COL 2 PIM

1st

  • 12:06SJSKevin Labanc · Holdingdrawn by Carl Soderberg2 min
  • 15:00SJSJoe Thornton · Trippingdrawn by Matt Nieto2 min
  • 15:34COLMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Logan Couture2 min

2nd

  • 9:17SJSMicheal Haley · Roughingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSJS goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Landeskog, OT 2:32 — COL 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.17N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.17N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.14J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.13J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.13C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.13G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.12T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.12C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.11J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.10T. Jost · Goal · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.10C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.09M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.07E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.06D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.03D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.03J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.02C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01
COL4 G · 2.4 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCOL
2.63 G
All situations
4 G2.4
2.63 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS51%49%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 2.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCOL
22
Shots on goal
26
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
24
Hits
31
20
Blocked shots
23
6
Giveaways
5
10
Takeaways
18

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD101+120.22530—30:18
44M. VlasicD202030.36040—26:10
65E. KarlssonD011-210.07110—23:35
61J. BraunD000+100.00310—23:29
9E. KaneL000-120.143102520:44
28T. MeierR022+250.70220—19:53
48T. HertlC000030.200304319:43
39L. CoutureC011+220.201005719:03
19J. ThorntonC000-100.000125316:37
14G. NyquistR022+100.10200—16:35
27J. DonskoiR000-110.22010—15:54
4B. DillonD000-210.01410—15:17
62K. LabancR000-210.26002—14:15
20M. SorensenL000-100.02100—13:02
23B. GoodrowC000-110.041004211:04
68M. KarlssonC000000.03010009:19
47J. RyanD000000.00010—06:15
18M. HaleyL000-100.00102—05:27
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(L)26224.8462.40-1.6062:32

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).