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Avalanche at Sharks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
1
San Jose Sharks
▸2
FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Colorado Avalanche 2-1. The Avalanche scored first; the Sharks answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Hertl's goal at 6:26 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 4.5 to 2.7; shots on goal were COL 22, SJS 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Martin Jones stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tomas Hertl (2 G), 2. Martin Jones (21 saves, .955), 3. Logan Couture (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    T. Hertl2 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    M. Jones21 saves, .955
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    L. Couture1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL061907122
SJSSJS012117110239

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    T. Jost(1)
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +22 pts
    1-0
    17:01
  2. SJS
    T. Hertl(7)PPG
    L. Couture (4), E. Karlsson (11)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    19:40

3rd period

  1. SJS
    T. Hertl(8)
    M. Vlasic (3), J. Donskoi (1)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +28 pts
    1-2
    6:26

Penalties

COL 10 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:04SJSTimo Meier · High stickingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 15:54COLMikko Rantanen · Cross checkingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min

2nd

  • 9:31COLCarl Soderberg · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min
  • 12:35SJSBrenden Dillon · High stickingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 14:46SJSEvander Kane · Cross checkingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 18:54COLTyson Barrie · Interferencedrawn by Evander Kane2 min

3rd

  • 0:31COLNikita Zadorov · High stickingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 7:31COLNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by Joe Thornton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCOL goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Tomas Hertl, 3rd 6:26 — SJS 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.57T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.47T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.35L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.19T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.18E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.18T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.17E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.15G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.15T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.13G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.11L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.11K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.10T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.10M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.09T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.09T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.08M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.08E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.08M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.07L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.05T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.05G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.02L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.02M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.00M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 4.5 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSJS
2.71 G
All situations
2 G4.5
2.01 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.60 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL38%62%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.63 – 3.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSJS
22
Shots on goal
39
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
18
22
Blocked shots
19
9
Giveaways
13
12
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
92G. LandeskogL000020.220204323:49
4T. BarrieD000030.31112—23:38
29N. MacKinnonC000-110.210003822:49
96M. RantanenR000020.42102—21:28
6E. JohnsonD000+100.09530—19:26
37J. CompherL000+120.200002019:06
49S. GirardD000000.00010—18:37
16N. ZadorovD000010.12654—18:25
8C. MakarD000-100.19010—18:17
28I. ColeD000000.00250—16:49
83M. NietoL000020.12210—15:56
34C. SoderbergC000010.041022515:10
13A. KerfootC000+130.20010013:14
22C. WilsonC000010.25110012:38
17T. JostC101+120.171007510:34
57G. BourqueL000-110.0221010010:27
10S. AndrighettoR000-110.10000—06:56
18D. BrassardC000000.000008006:01
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)39372.9493.41+1.4157:54

Series

SJS leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).