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Sharks at Avalanche
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
0
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 3-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 10:34 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were SJS 32, COL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Philipp Grubauer (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G), 3. Mikko Rantanen (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    P. Grubauer32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS01201109032
COLCOL01011226328

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(6)
    M. Rantanen (7), C. Makar (4)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    10:34

3rd period

  1. COL
    C. Wilson(4)PPG
    M. Rantanen (8)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    3:11
  2. COL
    E. Johnson(2)EN
    M. Calvert (4), M. Nieto (3)
    wristxG 0.47win prob +1 pts
    0-3
    18:51

Penalties

SJS 12 PIM·COL 6 PIM

2nd

  • 0:23SJSTimo Meier · Hookingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min
  • 6:15COLAlexander Kerfoot · Hookingdrawn by Marcus Sorensen2 min
  • 6:48SJSKevin Labanc · Hookingdrawn by Matt Nieto2 min
  • 19:40COLTyson Barrie · Holdingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

3rd

  • 2:32SJSJustin Braun · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 5:29SJSTimo Meier · Slashingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 5:29COLGabriel Landeskog · Slashingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 11:55SJSJustin Braun · High stickingdrawn by Colin Wilson2 min
  • 13:38SJSBrent Burns · Hookingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSJS goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 2nd 10:34 — COL 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.47N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.28M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.23N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.20C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.20C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.16D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.16G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.16C. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.15N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.13G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.09M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.08M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.08C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.08C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.07A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.07G. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.06E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01G. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 3.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCOL
2.40 G
All situations
2 G3.9
2.10 G
Even strength
1 G2.7
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS35%65%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 3.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCOL
32
Shots on goal
28
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
33
14
Blocked shots
20
4
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD000-210.08212—28:39
65E. KarlssonD000-140.30010—25:24
44M. VlasicD000-120.17130—22:38
48T. HertlC000-120.253005920:12
9E. KaneL000-130.24400—19:40
39L. CoutureC000-230.140003318:57
61J. BraunD000020.01204—18:20
4B. DillonD000010.01440—16:27
28T. MeierR000-130.22404—15:34
19J. ThorntonC000-120.160007314:53
14G. NyquistR000-130.28010—14:22
62K. LabancR000010.06002—14:16
23B. GoodrowC000020.092105812:46
68M. KarlssonC000020.27010011:33
20M. SorensenL000010.05000—10:50
52L. RadilC000000.09100010:17
18M. HaleyL000000.00210—09:17
47J. RyanD000000.00010—07:10
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(L)27252.9263.38+1.3858:06

Series

SJS leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).