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Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-2. The Avalanche scored first; the Sharks answered. The Sharks led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Labanc's goal at 16:02 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 2.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were COL 28, SJS 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.9 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Joe Thornton (1 G, 1 A), 2. Martin Jones (26 saves, .929), 3. Brent Burns (1 G, 3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    J. Thornton1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    M. Jones26 saves, .929
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    B. Burns1 G, 3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL11311104228
SJSSJS1931315527

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    C. Makar (2), T. Jost (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:10
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:44

2nd period

  1. COL
    C. Wilson(3)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    3:56
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.10win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    10:05
  3. SJS
    wristxG 0.08win prob +21 pts
    2-3
    16:02
  4. SJS
    slapxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    19:00

3rd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.55
    2-5
    19:31

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·SJS 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:00COLserved by C. Wilson · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 2:46SJSDylan Gambrell · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 4:56SJSBrenden Dillon · High sticking double minordrawn by J.T. Compher4 min

3rd

  • 19:49COLMatt Calvert · Slashingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 19:49SJSBrenden Dillon · Slashingdrawn by Matt Calvert2 min
  • 19:49COLMatt Calvert · Slashingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCOL goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Kevin Labanc, 2nd 16:02 — SJS 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.55T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.26B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.18K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.16T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.13E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.13T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.11J. Thornton · Goal · xG 0.10G. Nyquist · Goal · xG 0.10K. Labanc · Goal · xG 0.08T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.07M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.05T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.05J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.05L. Radil · On goal · xG 0.04M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.04L. Radil · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.03T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03L. Radil · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS5 G · 2.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSJS
2.32 G
All situations
4 G2.7
2.01 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL53%47%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 2.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSJS
28
Shots on goal
27
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/3
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
26
16
Blocked shots
22
15
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4T. BarrieD000-230.16010—24:35
92G. LandeskogL000-340.393101423:50
29N. MacKinnonC011-330.331006323:35
96M. RantanenR011-220.24200—21:50
49S. GirardD000-100.03130—21:10
16N. ZadorovD000-110.13210—18:11
8C. MakarD011020.07010—18:08
13A. KerfootC000-420.14000016:48
28I. ColeD000-100.00130—16:13
6E. JohnsonD000-200.00320—16:11
22C. WilsonC101-130.18010015:40
37J. CompherL000-110.010003315:16
34C. SoderbergC000-240.350007314:20
11M. CalvertL000000.00804—13:52
83M. NietoL000000.00120—13:08
18D. BrassardC000010.1010010009:46
17T. JostC011+110.010102008:59
57G. BourqueL101+110.11500—07:54
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)26224.8462.13-1.8758:23

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).