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San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-2. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Couture's goal at 12:50 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 48% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.2 to 2.3; shots on goal were SJS 31, COL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Philipp Grubauer stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Couture (3 G), 2. Philipp Grubauer (27 saves, .900), 3. Timo Meier (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    L. Couture3 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    P. Grubauer27 saves, .900
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    T. Meier1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS21301325431
COLCOL0719111227

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    15:24
  2. SJS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    18:42

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    15:51

3rd period

  1. COL
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +34 pts
    2-2
    11:45
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.16win prob +36 pts
    3-2
    12:50
  3. SJS
    wristxG 0.46win prob +6 pts
    4-2
    19:30

Penalties

SJS 8 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:55COLMatt Nieto · Holdingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 9:02COLIan Cole · Interferencedrawn by Joakim Ryan2 min
  • 10:22SJSEvander Kane · High stickingdrawn by Erik Johnson2 min

2nd

  • 5:06COLIan Cole · High stickingdrawn by Micheal Haley2 min
  • 10:48SJSBrenden Dillon · Interferencedrawn by Gabriel Bourque2 min
  • 13:51COLAlexander Kerfoot · Interferencedrawn by Marcus Sorensen2 min

3rd

  • 6:02SJSserved by K. Labanc · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:04SJSLogan Couture · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSJS goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Logan Couture, 3rd 12:50 — SJS 48% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.24N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.18A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.17J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.16C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.13C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.12C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.10T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.09C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.08M. Nieto · Goal · xG 0.08A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.04S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.04C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 2.3 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCOL
3.23 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.63 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS42%58%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCOL
31
Shots on goal
27
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
41
18
Blocked shots
19
6
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD000+130.14030—28:27
44M. VlasicD000010.02250—24:32
65E. KarlssonD000+120.04210—22:38
48T. HertlC000+120.160105921:50
61J. BraunD000020.04320—19:22
9E. KaneL000-151.13002—18:45
28T. MeierR123+350.44300—17:58
39L. CoutureC303+340.731025017:20
20M. SorensenL000-210.01030—15:29
4B. DillonD000+200.00112—14:50
19J. ThorntonC000-210.150003314:37
62K. LabancR000010.11010—14:21
23B. GoodrowC000+100.002006014:00
14G. NyquistR022+200.05010—13:14
68M. KarlssonC011020.11000012:32
52L. RadilC000+110.01000009:49
18M. HaleyL000010.02500—07:29
47J. RyanD000000.00100—04:49
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(W)27252.9262.26+0.2659:58

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).