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UCF

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

American · 19-15 · AdjEM +13.5, 53 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
+13.553 of 363
AdjO
106.790 of 363
AdjD
93.333 of 363
AdjT
67.8273 of 363

UCF went from +3.6 (#124) on 2022-11-06 to +13.5 (#53) on 2023-04-03, peaking at +14.4 (#41) on 2023-01-09.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 34 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
50.3%193
TOV%
17.9%252
OREB%
32.0%27
FTA/FGA
28.9%262
Opp eFG%
48.0%62
Opp TOV%
20.5%24
DREB%
72.1%246
Opp FTA/FGA
33.4%240

Résumé19-15 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
+5.689 of 363
Non-conference
+4.274 of 363
Luck
-10.9%349 of 363
Wins above bubble
-4.3104 of 363
Quad 1
3-7
Quad 2
3-4
Quad 3
4-3
Quad 4
9-1

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Taylor HendricksF3434.715.17.01.455.7%58.9%21.0%39.4%78.2%
Ithiel HortonG3430.812.33.71.647.4%49.5%23.3%34.8%83.3%
C.J. KellyG3430.713.33.62.855.3%60.0%22.5%38.7%81.3%
Darius JohnsonG2530.910.03.04.244.6%48.9%20.9%26.9%86.0%
Jay YoungG3319.24.52.22.045.3%52.0%15.2%35.8%81.6%
Brandon SuggsG3219.26.63.20.951.8%58.2%18.7%41.2%76.5%
Lahat ThiouneF3413.42.63.00.347.1%48.6%13.3%—64.3%
Tyem FreemanG2611.83.42.21.044.2%47.2%18.0%25.0%59.4%
Thierno SyllaC276.22.21.10.159.2%57.9%18.9%36.4%33.3%
P.J. EdwardsG196.71.70.90.445.7%45.7%16.1%26.1%—
C.J. WalkerF419.35.03.50.542.1%43.9%20.5%33.3%50.0%
Poohpha WarakulnukrohG71.91.70.00.383.3%75.9%35.1%100.0%50.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games19-15

“Ours” is our projected margin for UCF, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07vsUNC AshevilleQ3#149L 95-98+5.3
11-11vsFlorida StateQ4#203W 68-54+7.4
11-14vsWestern IllinoisQ4#265W 70-37+7.8
11-18nOklahoma StateQ1#50W 60-56-3.3
11-20nSanta ClaraQ2#90W 57-50+1.4
11-23vsEvansvilleQ4#353W 76-56+17.1
11-27vsMiamiQ1#23L 64-66+3.2
12-04vsSamfordQ3#126W 80-77+7.0
12-11vsTarleton StateQ4#177W 75-49+7.3
12-14@Ole MissQ2#114W 72-61-6.1
12-17nMissouriQ2#60L 66-68+0.8
12-21vsStetsonQ4#192W 73-58+15.7
12-28vsWichita StateQ3#107W 52-45+8.2
12-31@HoustonQ1#1L 65-71-19.9
01-04@East CarolinaQ3#208W 64-61+6.1
01-08vsSMUQ4#189W 85-53+12.4
01-11vsMemphisQ1#20W 107-104+4.8
01-14@TulaneQ2#113L 69-77+1.7
01-21@South FloridaQ3#168L 72-85+5.2
01-25vsHoustonQ1#1L 71-82-10.2
01-28vsTempleQ3#127L 70-77+10.1
02-04@CincinnatiQ1#63L 64-73-2.1
02-08@Wichita StateQ2#107W 72-67+1.0
02-11vsTulsaQ4#315W 96-52+17.6
02-16@MemphisQ1#20L 63-64-4.9
02-19vsCincinnatiQ2#63L 71-73+5.6
02-22vsSouth FloridaQ4#168L 75-82+12.8
02-26@TulsaQ4#315W 68-49+13.8
03-02@TempleQ2#127L 55-57+2.5
03-05vsEast CarolinaQ4#208W 84-58+15.5
03-09nSMUQ3#189W 76-70+10.2
03-10nMemphisQ1#20L 76-81-2.0
03-15@FloridaQ1#51W 67-49-5.3
03-19@OregonQ1#45L 54-68-4.1

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.