Skip to content

App State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Sun Belt · 16-15 · AdjEM -0.8, 184 of 359 nationally.

2021-22 seasonthrough ratings as of 2022-04-0421 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2022-04-04

Every team →
AdjEM
-0.8184 of 359
AdjO
98.6229 of 359
AdjD
99.5147 of 359
AdjT
67.3298 of 359

App State went from -4.0 (#294) on 2021-11-15 to -0.8 (#184) on 2022-04-04, peaking at -0.4 (#179) on 2022-03-14.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2021-11-152022-04-04

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
48.4%252
TOV%
15.0%40
OREB%
23.5%259
FTA/FGA
27.6%262
Opp eFG%
49.8%170
Opp TOV%
16.8%210
DREB%
75.5%107
Opp FTA/FGA
21.7%12

Résumé16-15 · against the ratings of 2022-04-04

Schedule strength
+0.4147 of 359
Non-conference
+5.435 of 359
Luck
+3.3%106 of 359
Wins above bubble
-6.9177 of 359
Quad 1
0-4
Quad 2
0-2
Quad 3
7-4
Quad 4
9-5

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players15 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Adrian DelphG3435.817.75.41.852.2%54.9%27.0%39.6%77.9%
Michael AlmonacyG3432.410.33.33.144.0%45.9%21.1%34.0%64.1%
Donovan GregoryF3430.010.95.82.850.7%53.8%21.0%0.0%66.7%
Justin ForrestG3225.99.12.82.338.0%43.6%25.9%26.7%70.6%
James Lewis Jr.F3224.75.65.90.554.6%54.7%13.1%—52.1%
CJ HuntleyF3322.26.53.60.660.9%61.3%14.1%34.8%63.0%
Michael Eads Jr.F3111.83.02.10.647.0%46.1%15.7%29.2%0.0%
RJ DuhartF2413.82.02.60.352.9%55.8%8.2%11.1%66.7%
Terence HarcumG188.42.10.70.658.9%58.2%14.4%43.8%50.0%
Chris MantisF235.11.70.70.345.0%46.5%20.5%30.3%75.0%
Xavion BrownG612.53.51.71.762.5%58.7%17.7%—25.0%
Sasha GlushkovC84.32.01.10.063.6%57.8%21.7%0.0%33.3%
Bryant GreeneG46.32.82.00.850.0%50.0%32.0%33.3%—
Andrew MuseG45.82.31.30.331.8%37.7%30.0%14.3%100.0%
R.J. WilsonF118.09.03.00.064.3%64.3%26.7%50.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games16-15

“Ours” is our projected margin for App State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-09@IonaQ2#79L 53-65—
11-12vsEast Tennessee StateQ4#190W 69-67—
11-18vsCharlotteQ4#203L 66-67+8.7
11-22nDelawareQ3#132L 68-75-5.3
11-23nAkronQ3#121W 57-45-1.9
11-24nVermontQ1#27L 63-65-6.4
11-29vsHartfordQ4#254W 69-59+8.1
12-10@FurmanQ1#64L 65-73-11.4
12-16@DukeQ1#10L 67-92-18.4
12-21@North CarolinaQ1#20L 50-70-13.3
12-30vsLouisianaQ4#167L 55-71+3.1
01-01vsUL MonroeQ4#292W 77-69+5.2
01-06@South AlabamaQ3#143W 72-64-12.0
01-08@TroyQ3#201L 53-68-8.2
01-13vsCoastal CarolinaQ3#144W 61-60+1.8
01-15@Coastal CarolinaQ3#144W 84-76-8.4
01-20@Georgia StateQ3#174W 61-60-3.4
01-22@Georgia SouthernQ4#252W 70-62-6.3
01-27vsArkansas StateQ4#187W 61-54+3.0
01-29vsLittle RockQ4#327W 72-57+11.2
02-03@Texas StateQ2#114L 66-68-6.2
02-05@UT ArlingtonQ3#240W 70-61-2.3
02-10vsGeorgia SouthernQ4#252W 65-61+5.8
02-12vsGeorgia StateQ4#174L 49-58+6.6
02-17vsTroyQ4#201L 61-67+3.3
02-19vsSouth AlabamaQ3#143W 69-51-0.7
02-23@Little RockQ4#327W 78-66+5.0
02-25@Arkansas StateQ3#187L 60-62-4.0
03-05nGeorgia SouthernQ4#252W 73-60+3.6
03-06nGeorgia StateQ3#174L 66-71+0.5
03-15vsSouth Carolina UpstateQ4#259L 74-80+7.9

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 359 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.