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New Mexico State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

UAC · 24-7 · AdjEM +10.2, 59 of 359 nationally.

2021-22 seasonthrough ratings as of 2022-04-0421 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2022-04-04

Every team →
AdjEM
+10.259 of 359
AdjO
105.375 of 359
AdjD
95.153 of 359
AdjT
67.3301 of 359

New Mexico State went from -0.2 (#191) on 2021-11-15 to +10.2 (#59) on 2022-04-04, peaking at +10.3 (#58) on 2022-03-21.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2021-11-152022-04-04

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.9%87
TOV%
19.2%301
OREB%
32.0%25
FTA/FGA
34.6%58
Opp eFG%
45.2%15
Opp TOV%
15.7%275
DREB%
76.6%72
Opp FTA/FGA
28.3%124

Résumé24-7 · against the ratings of 2022-04-04

Schedule strength
+1.7121 of 359
Non-conference
+4.950 of 359
Luck
+8.7%28 of 359
Wins above bubble
+1.936 of 359
Quad 1
3-1
Quad 2
4-2
Quad 3
10-2
Quad 4
7-2

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players17 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Teddy AllenG3433.419.66.72.551.4%57.7%30.3%33.5%87.6%
Sir'Jabari RiceG3232.311.95.13.148.5%53.6%21.6%33.5%77.9%
Johnny McCantsF3126.58.65.52.356.5%55.8%18.9%24.7%50.5%
Will McNair Jr.F3422.96.64.91.056.0%55.9%15.2%22.2%52.8%
Clayton HenryG2524.45.33.60.950.9%53.2%11.9%36.3%76.2%
Mike PeakeF3413.34.12.40.659.6%60.5%15.3%37.5%65.2%
Donnie TillmanF2119.46.43.41.051.4%54.0%18.8%35.7%63.6%
Mario McKinney Jr.G3112.43.82.11.148.4%51.5%21.5%28.6%62.8%
Nate PryorG2017.92.91.91.856.4%50.4%11.8%20.0%20.0%
Yuat AlokF3010.14.71.70.451.6%52.8%24.9%36.8%68.8%
Marchelus AveryF2311.14.02.50.650.0%53.0%19.7%29.0%66.7%
Levar WilliamsG178.52.70.40.448.8%50.8%16.0%31.6%66.7%
Virshon CottonG138.44.21.20.664.1%69.0%21.1%45.8%86.7%
Mayan KiirF125.016.011.01.040.0%43.7%41.5%0.0%57.1%
Jonathan KanyangaF122.07.05.01.060.0%58.8%18.4%—50.0%
Marsei CastonG29.02.51.00.041.7%41.7%19.8%33.3%—
Cameron CrawfordG52.40.60.20.0150.0%150.0%4.3%100.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games24-7

“Ours” is our projected margin for New Mexico State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-09vsUC IrvineQ3#119W 62-51—
11-13vsUTEPQ3#157W 77-71—
11-18nDavidsonQ1#34W 75-64-3.0
11-19nUtah StateQ2#62L 58-85+0.2
11-21nIndiana StateQ4#234W 80-66+0.0
11-30vsNew MexicoQ4#194L 94-101+13.7
12-03@UTEPQ3#157W 72-69-6.5
12-06@New MexicoQ3#194W 78-76-4.1
12-11@Loyola MarymountQ3#235W 63-58-1.2
12-15@Washington StateQ1#35W 64-61-11.1
01-01vsChicago StateQ4#341W 78-61+19.6
01-08@UT Rio Grande ValleyQ4#298W 85-73+1.2
01-13vsTarleton StateQ4#191W 73-57+8.8
01-15vsAbilene ChristianQ3#128W 77-63+7.6
01-20@Sam HoustonQ3#156L 46-71+3.8
01-22@Stephen F. AustinQ2#120W 72-58+1.4
01-29vsGrand CanyonQ3#76W 71-61+4.3
02-03vsCalifornia BaptistQ4#215W 68-57+12.2
02-05vsSeattle UQ3#123W 79-64+6.5
02-10@Utah TechQ4#296W 77-69+8.7
02-12@Utah ValleyQ2#107L 68-72-2.1
02-16vsUtah TechQ4#296W 75-64+15.9
02-19@Grand CanyonQ2#76W 82-66-3.0
02-21@Seattle UQ2#123W 68-55-1.2
02-26@Chicago StateQ4#341L 59-61+13.5
03-02vsStephen F. AustinQ3#120L 71-73+6.4
03-05vsUtah ValleyQ3#107W 62-46+5.2
03-11nGrand CanyonQ2#76W 75-70-0.2
03-12nAbilene ChristianQ3#128W 66-52+4.3
03-17nUConnQ1#22W 70-63-4.3
03-19nArkansasQ1#25L 48-53-3.1

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 359 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.